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PulteGroup stock

PHMNYSE

PulteGroup, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US7458671010

$126.90▼ $2.60 (−2.0%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

71Score 71 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

68 / 100

Price history

+5.2% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 2.2% above it.

Trend change

Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).

Distance to the high

The price is 11% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 90% (February 2007 to October 2011).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$120.01
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$124.22
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)57
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$109.35
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$142.56
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$24.67B
Div. yield
0.8%
12 months
13.5
13.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($9.52 per share)
Fair value
$121.31

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • PulteGroup, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $24.17B, is number 2 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $17.31B (down 3.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.22B (down 28%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $15.58B (down 10%) and adjusted earnings per share of $9.34 (down 16.2%).
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  • MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 144 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 13.3 (Residential Construction median 14.5, own median of recent years 8.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $121.31, with the price 7% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Share buybacksShare count down 26% since 2020.Capital allocation 84
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 13 years.Capital allocation 84
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 81

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

71/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are stability and capital allocation.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)72%
ROIC (12 months)12.7%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$129.50
Fair value
$121.31
Gap to fair value
+7%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $93.31 and expensive above $173.30 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $103.76 (cash-flow model) and $138.86 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $112.40, at 7.8% it would be $134.68.

Valuation metrics

1.92
11.1
Fair value (model)
$121.31
Earnings part $138.86 (earnings per share $9.56 × 14.5)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 9.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 26%, operating 17%, net 13%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.17
> 100x
5.84
Cash & equivalents
$1.37B

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 84 days
Last reported
22 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.53 (expected $2.65)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 13.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 202611 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.34−7.3%
Revenue
$15.58B−4.7%
Fiscal 202711 analysts
Earnings per share
$9.55−13.0%
Revenue
$15.7B−7.4%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +0.3%

The 2026 guidance is reaffirmed: 28,500 to 29,000 home closings and a gross margin of 24.5% to 25.0%, with 7,000 to 7,400 homes in the third quarter.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“For full year 2026, we reaffirm closings to be in the range of 28,500-29,000 homes, although we still have many homes to sell and close over the balance of the year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 22 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $894,840 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Koart Matthew WilliamSale

    27 May 2026, Exec. VP & COO

    Shares
    7,457
    Price
    $120.00
    Value
    $894,840

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at PulteGroup

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 144 of 602
144/ 602
This company
71
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies62 (median 53)9 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies52 (median 60)8 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies81 (median 73)8 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value62 (median 72)10 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies87 (median 62)25 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies84 (median 58)26 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies68 (median 63)5 above the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies74 (median 62)12 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Residential Construction

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 25 Residential Construction stocks

ETFs that hold PulteGroup

Held by 126 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

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Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 3 Nov 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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