NVR stock
NVRNYSENVR, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US62944T1051
71Score 71 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
46 / 100
Price history
−19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 9.1% below it.
Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 45).
The price is 27% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 62% (April 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6,090.27
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$6,482.24
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)45
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5,563.62
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$8,097.25
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- NVR, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $15.6B, is number 4 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $10.32B (down 2.1% year on year) and earnings of $1.34B (down 20.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $9.05B (down 12.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $336.51.
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- MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 142 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 15.6 (Residential Construction median 14.5, own median of recent years 15.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $7,042.64, with the price 16% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 44.4% in fiscal 2025, Residential Construction median 9.8%.Profitability 76
- Share buybacksShare count down 21% since 2020.Capital allocation 91
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 91
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 72 to 71.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5,417.41 and expensive above $10,060.91 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $8,613.56 (cash-flow model) and $5,471.71 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $6,310.37, at 7.8% it would be $8,142.06.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 9.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 23%, operating 16%, net 13%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 76 days
- Last reported
- 22 Oct 2026EPS reported $89.45 (expected $102.77)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 11.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $336.51−6.2%
- Revenue
- $9.05B−3.7%
- Earnings per share
- $346.37−11.8%
- Revenue
- $9.06B−8.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $405,185 in total.
- Oliver GeorgePurchase
7 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 63
- Price
- $6,431.51
- Value
- $405,185
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at NVR
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 71
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- D.R. HortonDHI $40.03B69
- PulteGroupPHM $24.67B71
- LennarLEN $20.54B52
- Sekisui House1928.T $14.28B66
- Toll BrothersTOL $13.91B75
- Installed Building ProductsIBP $5.57B70
- Champion HomesSKY $5B69
- Cavco IndustriesCVCO $4.96B80
ETFs that hold NVR
Held by 100 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD AccZPRU | 0.40% | 0.20% | €294.97M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.37% | 0.75% | €140.24M |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Quality Factor UCITS ETFQDVB | 0.37% | 0.20% | €1.89B |
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| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.36% | 0.20% | €268.74M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 0.34% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 0.33% | 0.15% | €719.53M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 0.31% | 0.15% | €123.56M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Quality Screened UCITS ETF hEUR accUBUX | 0.27% | 0.28% | €1.14B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.