Cavco Industries stock
CVCONASDAQCavco Industries, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US1495681074
80Score 80 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
84 / 100
Price history
+14% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 17% above it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 68).
The price is 8.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 58% (September 2018 to April 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$564.07
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$549.54
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)68
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$455.76
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$697.76
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Cavco Industries, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.9B, is number 9 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $2.24B (up 11.4% year on year) and earnings of $190.55M (up 11.4%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.52B (up 12.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $24.76 (up 3.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 80 out of 100 (Strong): rank 27 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 27 (Residential Construction median 14.1, own median of recent years 20.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $499.64, with the price 28% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 23.8% a year since 2021.Growth 84
- More cash than debtCash $289.08M, financial debt $32.96M.Stability 83
- Share buybacksShare count down 15% since 2021.Capital allocation 83
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 27, Residential Construction median 14.1, own median 20.4.Valuation 48
- Volatile share priceVolatility 46% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $356.89 and expensive above $832.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $663.67 (cash-flow model) and $335.62 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $442.51, at 7.8% it would be $585.47.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 26 Sep 2026, revenue rose 11.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2007, at around 15% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 23%, operating 10%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $6.47 (expected $5.52)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 9.8% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $24.76+9.8%
- Revenue
- $2.52B+2.8%
- Earnings per share
- $29.34+4.4%
- Revenue
- $2.7B+2.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $3.02M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Schuknecht Seth GSale
4 Nov 2026, EVP, General Counsel
- Shares
- 542
- Price
- $685.00
- Value
- $371,270
- Kerley Richard ASale
4 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 459
- Price
- $676.87
- Value
- $310,683
- Bigbee PaulSale
18 Aug 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 342
- Price
- $592.00
- Value
- $202,464
Show 7 more
- Daniels Lisa LynnSale
30 Jul 2026, Board
- Shares
- 30
- Price
- $569.96
- Value
- $17,099
- Aden AllisonSale
25 Jun 2026, EVP, CFO & Treasurer
- Shares
- 1,473
- Price
- $625.00
- Value
- $920,625
- Aden AllisonSale
12 Jun 2026, EVP, CFO & Treasurer
- Shares
- 1,208
- Price
- $600.00
- Value
- $724,800
- Kerley Richard ASale
9 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $588.76
- Value
- $294,380
- Bigbee PaulSale
28 May 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 200
- Price
- $537.75
- Value
- $107,550
- Cira Brian RSale
22 May 2026, President,Manufactured Housing
- Shares
- 31
- Price
- $509.17
- Value
- $15,784
- Aden AllisonSale
15 May 2026, EVP, CFO & Treasurer
- Shares
- 129
- Price
- $455.76
- Value
- $58,793
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Cavco Industries
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 80
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Sekisui House1928.T $14.47B66
- Toll BrothersTOL $13.64B75
- Installed Building ProductsIBP $5.95B70
- Champion HomesSKY $4.96B69
- Meritage HomesMTH $4.17B56
- M/I HomesMHO $3.2B55
- KB HomeKBH $2.94B53
- Green Brick PartnersGRBK $2.59B67
ETFs that hold Cavco Industries
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.28% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.26% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.17% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.06% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.05% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.03% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 28 Mar 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Jan 2021)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.