Green Brick Partners stock
GRBKNYSEGreen Brick Partners, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US3927091013
70Score 70 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
46 / 100
Price history
−5.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 19 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 12% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 42).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 19 years: 99% (July 2007 to November 2013).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$65.22
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$69.18
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)42
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$60.12
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$80.59
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Green Brick Partners, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.59B, is number 13 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.04B (down 2.8% year on year) and earnings of $313.23M (down 17.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 158 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 9.7 (Residential Construction median 14.5, own median of recent years 8.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $149.77, with the price 58% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 58% below the fair value of $149.77.Valuation 97
- Earnings per share growingUp 25.8% a year since 2020.Growth 83
- Share buybacksShare count down 13% since 2020.Capital allocation 73
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while technical analysis holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $106.98 and expensive above $249.62 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $208.63 (cash-flow model) and $90.90 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $131.43, at 7.8% it would be $177.36.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 10% on the twelve months before. Revenue turned from negative at the start of the period to positive ($2.04B in the latest year).
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 31%, operating 20%, net 15%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.35 (expected $1.44)below expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $5.76−5.2%
- Revenue
- $1.86B−2.3%
- Earnings per share
- $5.37−10.2%
- Revenue
- $1.84B−3.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −3.3%Green Brick reports an absorption decline instead of expected growth, backlog fell 6.8%, and early labor constraints from immigration headwinds emerged, particularly in Austin.
“We ended the quarter with 629 homes in backlog, down 6.8% year over year representing backlog revenue of $379 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $352,930 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Press Richard SSale
9 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $70.59
- Value
- $352,930
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Green Brick Partners
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 70
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Cavco IndustriesCVCO $4.96B80
- Meritage HomesMTH $4.29B57
- M/I HomesMHO $3.25B56
- KB HomeKBH $3.04B54
- Cairn HomesC5H.IR $1.89B80
- Century CommunitiesCCS $1.5B39
- Glenveagh PropertiesGVR.IR $1.36B64
- Dream Finders HomesDFH $1.09B48
ETFs that hold Green Brick Partners
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.11% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.07% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.07% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.07% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 6 Nov 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.