Dream Finders Homes stock
DFHNYSEDream Finders Homes, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US26154D1000
48Score 48 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
−44% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 6 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 23% below it.
Since November 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 54).
The price is 48% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 6 years: 83% (March 2024 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$10.91
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$14.39
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)54
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$7.42
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$21.05
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Dream Finders Homes, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $996.79M, is number 17 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.32B (down 2.9% year on year) and earnings of $217.2M (down 35.2%).
- MEQIRI Score 48 out of 100 (Weak): rank 479 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 9.7 (Residential Construction median 14.5, own median of recent years 7.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $9.02, with the price 33% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 30.7% a year since 2020, Residential Construction median 8.2%.Growth 59
- Earnings per share growingUp 22.3% a year since 2020.Growth 59
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 8 fiscal years from 2018 to 2025.
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$184.52M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 45
- Volatile share priceVolatility 74% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 61
- Margin fallingOperating margin 6.2%, average of the prior years 9.7% (to 2024).Profitability 25
The score is held back by momentum and profitability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $6.02 and expensive above $18.05 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $1.55 (cash-flow model) and $16.50 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $8.95, at 11.8% it would be $9.12.
Valuation metrics
Half from the dividend model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 10.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2018, at around 35% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 17%, operating 6%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Mar 2027in 112 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.22 (expected $0.20)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $0.39−63.3%
- Revenue
- $4.39B+4.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.82+3.9%
- Revenue
- $6.59B+51.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $1.44M in total. One insider sold, $8.8M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Sturm LenPurchase
4 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $10.53
- Value
- $10,530
- Beckwitt RichardPurchase
10 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $12.07
- Value
- $120,700
- Sturm LenPurchase
3 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,500
- Price
- $13.47
- Value
- $20,205
Show 16 more
- Sturm LenPurchase
26 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $14.72
- Value
- $14,720
- Sturm LenPurchase
24 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 250
- Price
- $14.75
- Value
- $3,688
- Sturm LenPurchase
21 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 250
- Price
- $14.81
- Value
- $3,703
- Beckwitt RichardPurchase
13 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 12,000
- Price
- $14.80
- Value
- $177,600
- Beckwitt RichardPurchase
12 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 8,000
- Price
- $13.83
- Value
- $110,640
- Beckwitt RichardPurchase
11 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 70,000
- Price
- $13.95
- Value
- $976,500
- Lovett William Radford IISale
24 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 56,590
- Price
- $16.67
- Value
- $943,338
- Lovett William Radford IISale
22 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 21,962
- Price
- $15.00
- Value
- $329,430
- Lovett William Radford IISale
18 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 85,057
- Price
- $15.52
- Value
- $1.32M
- Lovett William Radford IISale
17 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 45,544
- Price
- $15.21
- Value
- $692,724
- Lovett William Radford IISale
16 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 50,266
- Price
- $14.99
- Value
- $753,487
- Lovett William Radford IISale
15 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 53,325
- Price
- $15.16
- Value
- $808,407
- Lovett William Radford IISale
12 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 76,428
- Price
- $15.17
- Value
- $1.16M
- Lovett William Radford IISale
11 Jun 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 60,828
- Price
- $14.56
- Value
- $885,656
- Lovett William Radford IISale
20 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 32,146
- Price
- $12.89
- Value
- $414,362
- Lovett William Radford IISale
19 May 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 117,854
- Price
- $12.65
- Value
- $1.49M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Dream Finders Homes
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 48
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Green Brick PartnersGRBK $2.66B70
- Cairn HomesC5H.IR $1.89B80
- Century CommunitiesCCS $1.5B39
- Glenveagh PropertiesGVR.IR $1.36B64
- LGI HomesLGIH $992.25M42
- JMJM.ST $839.13M39
- Legacy HousingLEGH $691.61M71
- Hovnanian EnterprisesHOV $628.44M51
ETFs that hold Dream Finders Homes
Held by 8 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.02% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 29 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.