LGI Homes stock
LGIHNASDAQLGI Homes, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US50187T1060
41Score 41 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
42 / 100
Price history
−16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 13 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 18% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 38% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 13 years: 81% (May 2021 to March 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$46.52
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$49.92
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$34.24
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$65.84
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- LGI Homes, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $956.88M, is number 18 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.71B (down 22.6% year on year) and earnings of $72.55M (down 63%).
- MEQIRI Score 41 out of 100 (Weak): rank 539 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 13.6 (Residential Construction median 14.1, own median of recent years 9).
- Our model puts fair value at $42.64, with the price 4% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 257% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 63
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 63
- Share buybacksShare count down 8% since 2020.
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 4.7%, average of the prior years 15.4% (to 2024).Profitability 27
- Earnings per share fallingDown 24.7% a year since 2020.Growth 11
- Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 6.4% a year since 2020.Growth 11
Its standout strength is stability, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 42 to 41.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $28.43 and expensive above $85.29 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Valuation metrics
From earnings times the industry P/E (14.1) alone; there are no viable cash flows for the cash-flow model.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 1.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2011, at around 29% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 5%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.05 (expected $0.72)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $3.05+5.9%
- Revenue
- $1.67B−7.7%
- Earnings per share
- $3.19−12.6%
- Revenue
- $1.77B−13.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +9.6%Guidance raised: average selling price up $5,000 to a range of $360,000 to $370,000 and homebuilding gross margin up 50 basis points to 19% to 21%.
“We now expect homebuilding gross margin will range between 19-21% and adjusted homebuilding gross margin between 22 point 5 percent and 24 point half percent. This is our second consecutive quarter of raising gross margin guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Snider Michael LarrySale
9 Mar 2026, President and COO
- Shares
- 13,887
- Price
- $42.04
- Value
- $583,778
- Merdian Charles MichaelSale
9 Mar 2026, CFO and Treasurer
- Shares
- 7,211
- Price
- $42.04
- Value
- $303,134
- Lipar Eric ThomasSale
9 Mar 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Chairman of the Board
- Shares
- 39,898
- Price
- $42.00
- Value
- $1.68M
Show 1 more
- Garber Scott JamesSale
9 Mar 2026, General Counsel and Secretary
- Shares
- 1,353
- Price
- $42.04
- Value
- $56,877
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at LGI Homes
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 41
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Cairn HomesC5H.IR $1.9B80
- Century CommunitiesCCS $1.47B39
- Glenveagh PropertiesGVR.IR $1.36B64
- Dream Finders HomesDFH $996.79M47
- JMJM.ST $835.66M39
- Legacy HousingLEGH $674.96M68
- Hovnanian EnterprisesHOV $611.26M50
- Kaufman & BroadKOF.PA $437.19M58
ETFs that hold LGI Homes
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.06% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.05% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.01% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.00% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Feb 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.