Meritage Homes stock
MTHNYSEMeritage Homes Corporation, Consumer CyclicalISIN US59001A1025
57Score 57 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
64 / 100
Price history
−4.5% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 5.6% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (December 2006 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$63.91
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$68.67
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)51
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$57.85
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$85.18
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Meritage Homes Corporation belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.17B, is number 10 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.86B (down 8.4% year on year) and earnings of $453.01M (down 42.4%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.92B (down 16%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.18 (down 38.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 57 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 377 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 14.2 (Residential Construction median 14.5, own median of recent years 8).
- Our model puts fair value at $66.38, with the price 0% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 162% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 72
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 72
- Share buybacksShare count down 6% since 2020.Capital allocation 61
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 9.2%, average of the prior years 15% (to 2024).Profitability 37
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $47.42 and expensive above $110.64 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Valuation metrics
From earnings times the industry P/E (14.5) alone; there are no viable cash flows for the cash-flow model.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 14% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 20%, operating 9%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 76 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.11 (expected $1.17)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 22.4% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $4.18−13.3%
- Revenue
- $4.92B−7.9%
- Earnings per share
- $4.31−22.4%
- Revenue
- $5.02B−12.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +4.0%Meritage Homes withdraws its Q4 and full-year 2026 guidance entirely due to uncertain market conditions, only reiterating 5% to 10% community count growth.
“We reiterate our expectation of a 5%-10% full year 2026 community count growth year over year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Sasser AlisonSale
12 May 2026, SVP - Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 1,273
- Price
- $62.11
- Value
- $79,066
- Sasser AlisonSale
24 Feb 2026, SVP - Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 151
- Price
- $76.80
- Value
- $11,597
- Woffinden Austin MSale
24 Feb 2026, EVP, Corp. Ops & Strategy
- Shares
- 143
- Price
- $76.80
- Value
- $10,982
Show 5 more
- Hilton Steven JSale
23 Feb 2026, Executive Chairman
- Shares
- 4,835
- Price
- $76.13
- Value
- $368,107
- Clinton MalissiaSale
23 Feb 2026, EVP - Gen. Counsel, Secretary
- Shares
- 5,185
- Price
- $76.11
- Value
- $394,617
- Feliciano JavierSale
23 Feb 2026, EVP Chief People Officer
- Shares
- 3,580
- Price
- $76.24
- Value
- $272,931
- Sferruzza HillaSale
23 Feb 2026, EVP- Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 10,928
- Price
- $76.35
- Value
- $834,329
- Lord PhillippeSale
23 Feb 2026, Chief Executive Officer
- Shares
- 32,820
- Price
- $76.49
- Value
- $2.51M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Meritage Homes
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 57
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Toll BrothersTOL $13.91B75
- Installed Building ProductsIBP $5.57B70
- Champion HomesSKY $5B69
- Cavco IndustriesCVCO $4.96B80
- M/I HomesMHO $3.25B56
- KB HomeKBH $3.04B54
- Green Brick PartnersGRBK $2.66B70
- Cairn HomesC5H.IR $1.89B80
ETFs that hold Meritage Homes
Held by 17 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.27% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.24% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.19% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.15% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.14% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.11% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.10% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.07% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.