Lennar stock
LENNYSELennar Corporation, Consumer CyclicalISIN US5260571048
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
−33% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 7.2% below it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 37% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 94% (February 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$81.60
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$90.06
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$73.53
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$133.13
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Lennar Corporation belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $19.88B, is number 3 of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $34.19B (down 3.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.08B (down 47.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $31.43B (down 8.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.81 (down 39.7%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 444 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 15.2 (Residential Construction median 14.1, own median of recent years 10).
- Our model puts fair value at $40.11, with the price 108% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 17% since 2020.Capital allocation 50
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 18 years.Capital allocation 50
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 72
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 108% above the fair value of $40.11.Valuation 52
- Margin fallingOperating margin 8%, average of the prior years 15.9% (to 2024).Profitability 32
- Share price fell sharplyDown 33% over the last 12 months.Momentum 45
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 52 to 51.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $28.65 and expensive above $66.84 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2.84 (cash-flow model) and $77.37 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $39.71, at 7.8% it would be $40.72.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue fell 8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 10%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 15 Dec 2026in 32 days
- Last reported
- 16 Sep 2026EPS reported $1.23 (expected $1.28)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 5.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $4.81−1.1%
- Revenue
- $31.43B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $4.99−5.7%
- Revenue
- $31.66B−1.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −2.5%Q4 guidance: 19,500 to 20,500 new orders, 22,000 to 23,000 home deliveries and a gross margin of 15.5% to 16%.
“As we look ahead to the fourth quarter, we expect to generate new orders of approximately 19,500 to 20,500 and to deliver 22,000 to 23,000 homes with a gross margin between 15.5% and 16%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 17 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
One insider bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $595.29M in total.
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
2 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,708,095
- Price
- $79.44
- Value
- $135.69M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
1 Oct 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 710,542
- Price
- $80.14
- Value
- $56.95M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
30 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 642,821
- Price
- $81.58
- Value
- $52.44M
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- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
29 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 12,389
- Price
- $81.93
- Value
- $1.02M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
28 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 5,200
- Price
- $81.96
- Value
- $426,192
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
25 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 492,124
- Price
- $81.12
- Value
- $39.92M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
24 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 653,320
- Price
- $80.88
- Value
- $52.84M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
23 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 534,256
- Price
- $81.65
- Value
- $43.62M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
21 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 667,118
- Price
- $77.74
- Value
- $51.86M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
18 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,381,397
- Price
- $76.48
- Value
- $105.64M
- Berkshire Hathaway IncPurchase
17 Sept 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 695,014
- Price
- $78.98
- Value
- $54.89M
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Lennar
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- D.R. HortonDHI $39.21B68
- PulteGroupPHM $24.17B70
- NVRNVR $15.38B70
- Sekisui House1928.T $14.47B66
- Toll BrothersTOL $13.64B75
- Installed Building ProductsIBP $5.95B70
- Champion HomesSKY $4.96B69
- Cavco IndustriesCVCO $4.9B80
ETFs that hold Lennar
Held by 94 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD AccZPRU | 0.64% | 0.20% | €301.47M |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor UCITS ETFQDVI | 0.55% | 0.20% | €3B |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 0.38% | 0.12% | €151.44M |
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| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 0.36% | 0.15% | €728.88M |
| iShares MSCI USA Mid-Cap Equal Weight UCITS ETFQDVC | 0.35% | 0.20% | €272.21M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 0.35% | 0.15% | €124.21M |
| Invesco S&P 500 QVM UCITS ETFQVMP | 0.32% | 0.35% | €52.25M |
| First Trust US Large Cap Core AlphaDEX UCITS ETFFTGU | 0.30% | 0.75% | €142.73M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Nov 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 23 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.