D.R. Horton stock
DHINYSED.R. Horton, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US23331A1097
69Score 69 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
65 / 100
Price history
−1.1% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 2.1% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (February 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$141.69
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$147.48
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$132.53
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$167.78
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- D.R. Horton, Inc. belongs to the Residential Construction industry (United States) and, with a market value of $39.21B, is the largest of 25 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $33.04B (down 3.5% year on year) and earnings of $2.89B (down 19.4%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $31.09B (down 5.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $8.57 (down 15.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 69 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 178 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 13.9 (Residential Construction median 14.5, own median of recent years 11.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $174.61, with the price 16% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Share buybacksShare count down 21% since 2021.Capital allocation 81
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 17 years.Capital allocation 81
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 87
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 10.9%, average of the prior years 17.6% (to 2025).Profitability 54
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and stability, while growth holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $134.31 and expensive above $249.44 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $198.25 (cash-flow model) and $150.97 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $157.39, at 7.8% it would be $200.49.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In fiscal 2026, revenue fell 3.5% on the prior year. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 22%, operating 11%, net 9%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Jan 2027in 68 days
- Last reported
- 29 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.67 (expected $3.01)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 25.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $8.57−25.0%
- Revenue
- $31.09B−8.5%
- Earnings per share
- $10.49−21.3%
- Revenue
- $32.65B−9.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +2.1%D.R. Horton expects home sales gross margin of only 18% to 18.5% in Q1 2027, well below the prior 19.5%, and anticipates continued pressure on demand and elevated incentive costs throughout fiscal 2027.
“We expect our home sales gross margin for the first quarter to be in the range of 18% to 18.5% and our consolidated pre tax profit margin to be in the range of 7% to 8%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Odom Aron M.Sale
13 Feb 2026, SVP, Controller and PAO
- Shares
- 260
- Price
- $167.55
- Value
- $43,563
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at D.R. Horton
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 69
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Residential Construction
The next smaller companies by market value
- PulteGroupPHM $24.67B71
- LennarLEN $20.54B52
- NVRNVR $15.6B71
- Sekisui House1928.T $14.28B66
- Toll BrothersTOL $13.91B75
- Installed Building ProductsIBP $5.57B70
- Champion HomesSKY $5B69
- Cavco IndustriesCVCO $4.96B80
ETFs that hold D.R. Horton
Held by 122 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTEH | 1.33% | 0.23% | €2.41B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Value UCITS ETF USD AccZPRU | 1.21% | 0.20% | €294.97M |
| iShares Edge MSCI USA Value Factor UCITS ETFQDVI | 0.99% | 0.20% | €2.9B |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 0.83% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 0.81% | 0.15% | €719.53M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 0.77% | 0.15% | €123.56M |
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Discretionary Sector Advanced UCITS ETF36BB | 0.63% | 0.18% | €33.17M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Prime Value Screened UCITS ETF hEUR accUBUW | 0.63% | 0.28% | €127.84M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Sep 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 11 Nov 2026, previously Strong
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.