NexPoint Residential Trust stock
NXRTNYSENexPoint Residential Trust, Inc., Real EstateISIN US65341D1028
36Score 36 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
25 / 100
Price history
−52% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 12 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 39% below it.
Since February 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 23).
The price is 52% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 12 years: 84% (April 2022 to November 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$19.57
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$25.34
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)23
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$15.42
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$32.17
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- NexPoint Residential Trust, Inc. belongs to the REIT (Residential) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $393.98M, is number 17 of 17 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $251.28M (down 3.2% year on year) and a loss of $32.03M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $255.86M (up 1.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$1.58.
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- MEQIRI Score 36 out of 100 (Weak): rank 310 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
- Our model puts fair value at $29.82, with the price 48% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 11 years.
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 6.95 times equity (latest quarter), REIT (Residential) median 0.91.Stability 39
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.5 times.Stability 39
- Margin fallingOperating margin 11.1%, average of the prior years 32.2% (to 2024).Profitability 27
Its standout strength is valuation, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak fundamentals
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $22.94 and expensive above $42.60 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $25.00 (cash-flow model) and $34.64 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.2%. At 13.2% the fair value would be $28.50, at 11.2% it would be $31.50.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but score below 50, high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from FFO per share times the median price to FFO of the REIT industry (15.3). For REITs, depreciation on buildings depresses earnings, so FFO counts instead of earnings, here following the industry rule (Nareit) from the filings with the SEC: gains on property sales are deducted where the company reports them in the standard items. The cash-flow model uses AFFO: operating cash flow less maintenance, estimated at 9% of revenue, and less preferred dividends. New construction and acquisitions do not count as running costs there.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 2.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2013, at around 74% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 84%, operating 11%, net −13%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.45 (expected −$0.41)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 8.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$1.58−2.6%
- Revenue
- $255.86M−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- −$2.25−8.3%
- Revenue
- $260M−1.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +3.1%Guidance lowered: core FFO per share midpoint of $2.45 versus $2.57 and same-store NOI midpoint of negative 1% versus negative 0.5%.
“We're lowering same-store NOI guidance to a range of negative 2.5% to 0.5% at a midpoint of negative 1% from a prior midpoint of negative 0.5%. The components of the bridge from $2.57 to $2.45 in 5 pieces are as follows: interest expense down $0.16.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $503,368 in total. One insider sold, $256,050 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Richards PaulPurchase
9 Nov 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 2,800
- Price
- $15.91
- Value
- $44,548
- McGraner MattPurchase
6 Nov 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 6,082
- Price
- $16.38
- Value
- $99,623
- Richards PaulPurchase
6 Nov 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $16.33
- Value
- $8,165
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- Mitts BrianSale
5 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $17.07
- Value
- $256,050
- McGraner MattPurchase
5 Nov 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 5,910
- Price
- $16.86
- Value
- $99,643
- Richards PaulPurchase
5 Nov 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $16.78
- Value
- $50,340
- McGraner MattPurchase
5 Oct 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 5,500
- Price
- $18.42
- Value
- $101,310
- McGraner MattPurchase
1 Oct 2026, See Remarks
- Shares
- 5,280
- Price
- $18.89
- Value
- $99,739
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at NexPoint Residential Trust
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 36
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Residential)
The next larger companies by market value
- Camden Property TrustCPT $9.96B60
- Millrose PropertiesMRP $4.01B53
- Independence Realty TrustIRT $3.53B56
- Xior Student HousingXIOR.BR $1.33B57
- UMH PropertiesUMH $1.27B42
- CenterspaceCSR $956.61M60
- Irish Residential Properties REITIRES.IR $793.62M55
- Home Invest BelgiumHOMI.BR $396.59M61
ETFs that hold NexPoint Residential Trust
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR Dow Jones Global Real Estate UCITS ETF (Dist)SPYJ | 0.02% | 0.40% | €329.7M |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.00% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.00% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Feb 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.