Millrose Properties stock
MRPNYSEMillrose Properties, Inc., Real EstateISIN US6011371027
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
47 / 100
Price history
−19% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 2 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 8.9% below it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).
The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 2 years: 40% (August 2025 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$26.08
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$28.56
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)62
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$21.22
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$32.18
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Millrose Properties, Inc. belongs to the REIT (Residential) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.01B, is number 10 of 17 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $825.42M (up 37.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.09 (up 26.5%).
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 189 of 327 in Real Estate, median 55.
Show more
- The P/E is 8.6 (REIT (Residential) median 26, own median of recent years 12.2).
- For real estate investment trusts (REITs) what counts is funds from operations (FFO and AFFO). The P/E and the payout ratio of earnings say little here, because depreciation on properties depresses earnings.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.
- High marginNet margin 63.2% over the last 12 months, REIT (Residential) median 24.4%.Profitability 72
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 11.79%, REIT (Residential) median 4.65%.
Weaknesses
- DilutionShare count up 23% since 2022.Capital allocation 35
Its standout strength is profitability, while fundamentals and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansValuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedA fair value is not meaningful here, so the signal follows the valuation grade.
Valuation metrics
The model puts the fair value at more than four times the share price. That says more about the assumptions than about the company, so a fair value is not meaningful here and the valuation relies on the P/E and the other metrics.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the quarter to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 17.7% on the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue turned from negative at the start of the period to positive ($600.46M in the latest year).
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 85%, operating 81%, net 63%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 4 Mar 2027in 112 days
- Last reported
- 27 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.78 (expected $0.77)in line with expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.09+0.9%
- Revenue
- $825.42M+1.8%
- Earnings per share
- $3.33+3.0%
- Revenue
- $921.22M+3.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +6.1%Millrose raised its year end outlook: Q4 AFFO per share is now expected at $0.82 to $0.84, putting the annual run rate above the prior $3.30 per share guidance.
“For the fourth quarter, we expect AFFO of approximately $82 to $0.84 per share and year end AFFO annual run rate above the $3.30 per share guidance provided on our year-end 2025 earnings call.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 27 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
3 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $245,094 in total.
- Gorson Matthew B.Purchase
10 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $28.80
- Value
- $86,400
- Migoya Carlos A.Purchase
7 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $29.18
- Value
- $29,180
- Gorson Matthew B.Purchase
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 4,500
- Price
- $26.97
- Value
- $121,343
Show 1 more
- Presa RachelPurchase
13 May 2026, General Counsel and Secretary
- Shares
- 307
- Price
- $26.62
- Value
- $8,171
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Millrose Properties
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
327 rated companies in Real Estate
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 55
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in REIT (Residential)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Equity LifeStyle PropertiesELS $12.07B62
- American Homes 4 RentAMH $11.68B64
- UDRUDR $11.59B65
- Camden Property TrustCPT $9.96B60
- Independence Realty TrustIRT $3.53B56
- Xior Student HousingXIOR.BR $1.33B57
- UMH PropertiesUMH $1.27B42
- CenterspaceCSR $956.61M60
ETFs that hold Millrose Properties
Held by 20 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global X Superdividend UCITS ETF USDUDIV | 1.08% | 0.45% | €842.65M |
| UBS FTSE EPRA Nareit Developed Green UCITS ETF USD disCSYZ | 0.61% | 0.25% | €207.23M |
| iShares US Property Yield UCITS ETFIQQ7 | 0.35% | 0.40% | €554.91M |
Show 5 more
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.26% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.26% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.24% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| iShares Developed Markets Property Yield UCITS ETFIQQ6 | 0.24% | 0.59% | €812.71M |
| HSBC FTSE EPRA NAREIT Developed UCITS ETFH4ZL | 0.21% | 0.24% | €3.36B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 29 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.