Melco Resorts & Entertainment stock
MLCONASDAQMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited, Consumer CyclicalISIN US5854641009
55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
41 / 100
Price history
−54% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 21% below it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).
The price is 55% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 90% (March 2014 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$4.41
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$5.30
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)62
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$3.73
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$9.39
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (Hong Kong SAR China) and, with a market value of $1.54B, is number 26 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.16B (up 11.3% year on year) and earnings of $185.05M (up 325%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 397 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 9.6 (Casinos and Gaming median 17.7, own median of recent years 35).
- Our model puts fair value at $8.00, with the price 48% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 297% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 63
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 34.6% a year through 2028 (estimates from 4 analysts).Growth 69
- Modestly valuedP/E 9.6, Casinos and Gaming median 17.7, own median 35.Valuation 97
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.3 times.Stability 31
- Share price fell sharplyDown 53% over the last 12 months.Momentum 22
Its standout strengths are valuation and capital allocation, while stability and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapIn our model the price counts as cheap below $5.72 and expensive above $13.34 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $8.33 (cash-flow model) and $7.67 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 13.9%. At 14.9% the fair value would be $7.79, at 12.9% it would be $8.25.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 0.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2020, at around 24% per year. From 2020 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 37%, operating 12%, net 4%. From 2020 revenue is reported differently (for example gross instead of net), so earlier years are not comparable and not shown.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 26.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- 0.33−26.0%
- Revenue
- $5.1B−2.6%
- Earnings per share
- 0.5−20.2%
- Revenue
- $5.23B−3.9%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +1.4%No change of direction stated: third-quarter guidance on non-operating items (depreciation and amortization of $140 million to $145 million, net interest expense of $115 million to $120 million), daily Macau operating costs steady at about $3.4 million.
“Total depreciation and amortization expense is expected to be approximately $140 million to $145 million. Corporate expense is expected to come in at approximately $20 million to $25 million and consolidated net interest expense is expected to be approximately $115 million to $120 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 13 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Melco Resorts & Entertainment
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 55
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Casinos and Gaming
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Red Rock ResortsRRR $2.93B55
- PENN EntertainmentPENN $2.35B47
- Monarch Casino & ResortMCRI $1.95B77
- Brightstar LotteryBRSL $1.78B48
- BetssonBETS-B.ST $1.16B72
- Accel EntertainmentACEL $1.11B66
- ZEAL NetworkTIMA.DE $949.26M76
- Bally'sBALY $699.19M27
ETFs that hold Melco Resorts & Entertainment
Held by 4 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi Global Luxury UCITS ETF EUR AccGLUX | 0.08% | 0.35% | €412.76M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.84B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.