Accel Entertainment stock
ACELNYSEAccel Entertainment, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US00436Q1067
66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
65 / 100
Price history
+34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 9 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 17% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 87).
The price is 1.1% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 9 years: 58% (February 2020 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$11.57
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.80
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)87
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$9.61
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$13.98
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Accel Entertainment, Inc. belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.11B, is number 28 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.33B (up 8.1% year on year) and earnings of $51.47M (up 46%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.45B (up 8.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.83 (down 1.1%).
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- MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 228 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 18.1 (Casinos and Gaming median 17.4, own median of recent years 22.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $24.68, with the price 43% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 43% below the fair value of $24.68.Valuation 72
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 165% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 71
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.9 times.Stability 54
Its standout strengths are momentum and valuation, while capital allocation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $17.63 and expensive above $41.13 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $36.05 (cash-flow model) and $13.31 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $21.33, at 7.8% it would be $29.73.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2016, at around 25% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 32%, operating 8%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Mar 2027in 110 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.25 (expected $0.18)above expectations
Analyst estimates
- Earnings per share
- $0.83+20.6%
- Revenue
- $1.45B+0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $0.91+9.9%
- Revenue
- $1.51B+0.6%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −6.9%No guidance change stated; 2026 capital expenditure still expected at $60 million to $70 million, and the benefit of ticket-in ticket-out is expected to build through the year.
“We continued to expect full year 2026 CapEx to be in the range of $60 million to $70 million, which compares to approximately $89 million in 2025, which included elevated investment at Fairmount Park. The majority of our 2026 CapEx is maintenance-oriented with growth capital concentrated in our developing markets.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 May 2026 (fiscal Q1 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $2.36M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Rubenstein Andrew H.Sale
4 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $12.94
- Value
- $517,628
- Phelan Mark T.Sale
2 Nov 2026, President and CEO
- Shares
- 25,000
- Price
- $12.00
- Value
- $300,000
- Kozlik ChristenSale
15 Sept 2026, Chief Accounting Officer
- Shares
- 550
- Price
- $11.55
- Value
- $6,353
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- Harmer DerekSale
14 Sept 2026, Chief Compliance Officer
- Shares
- 13,162
- Price
- $11.60
- Value
- $152,733
- Harmer DerekSale
11 Sept 2026, Chief Compliance Officer
- Shares
- 26,324
- Price
- $11.63
- Value
- $306,048
- Rubenstein Andrew H.Sale
5 Aug 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $12.64
- Value
- $189,533
- Harmer DerekSale
15 Jun 2026, Chief Compliance Officer
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $13.00
- Value
- $260,000
- Phelan Mark T.Sale
15 Jun 2026, COO, President, U.S. Gaming
- Shares
- 25,000
- Price
- $13.00
- Value
- $325,000
- Rubenstein Andrew H.Sale
1 Jun 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President
- Shares
- 25,000
- Price
- $12.09
- Value
- $302,210
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Accel Entertainment
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 66
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Casinos and Gaming
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Monarch Casino & ResortMCRI $1.97B77
- Brightstar LotteryBRSL $1.89B49
- Melco Resorts & EntertainmentMLCO $1.57B55
- BetssonBETS-B.ST $1.18B72
- ZEAL NetworkTIMA.DE $1.02B78
- Bally'sBALY $753.71M29
- Société Fermière du Casino Municipal de CannesFCMC.PA $473.67M74
- Kambi GroupKAMBI.ST $438.08M69
ETFs that hold Accel Entertainment
Held by 9 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.02% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.01% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.00% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Aug 2021)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.