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Monarch Casino & Resort stock

MCRINASDAQ

Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US6090271072

$111.95▲ $1.78 (+1.6%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

77Score 77 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

57 / 100

Price history

+17% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 1.4% below it.

Trend change

Since April 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).

Distance to the high

The price is 16% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (October 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$116.25
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$113.55
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)47
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$89.30
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$133.87
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.97B
Div. yield
1.07%
12 months
17.7
Fair value
$122.82

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.97B, is number 24 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $545.13M (up 4.4% year on year) and earnings of $101.39M (up 39.3%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $568.09M (up 4.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.74 (up 24.1%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 61 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 17.7 (Casinos and Gaming median 17.4, own median of recent years 20).
  • Our model puts fair value at $122.82, with the price 9% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Earnings per share growingUp 33.7% a year since 2020.Growth 88
  • More cash than debtCash $137.41M, financial debt $12.6M.Stability 84
  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 22.8% in fiscal 2025, Casinos and Gaming median 7.7%.Profitability 85

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

77/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)141%
ROIC (12 months)24.7%
Positive free cash flow60% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$111.95
Fair value
$122.82
Gap to fair value
−9%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $94.48 and expensive above $175.46 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $135.45 (cash-flow model) and $110.19 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $111.76, at 7.8% it would be $139.40.

Valuation metrics

1.95
10.9
Fair value (model)
$122.82
Earnings part $110.19 (earnings per share $6.34 × 17.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 7% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 45%, operating 25%, net 19%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.02
67.8x
1.17
Cash & equivalents
$137.41M

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
3 Feb 2027in 83 days
Last reported
27 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.76 (expected $1.86)below expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20264 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.74−1.5%
Revenue
$568.09M−0.4%
Fiscal 20274 analysts
Earnings per share
$7.05−0.4%
Revenue
$580.73M−0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $1.22M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Farahi JohnSale

    17 Sept 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $124.00
    Value
    $620,000
  • Farahi JohnSale

    28 May 2026, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO

    Shares
    5,000
    Price
    $120.84
    Value
    $604,200

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Monarch Casino & Resort

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 61 of 602
61/ 602
This company
77
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies85 (median 53)32 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies88 (median 60)28 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies89 (median 73)16 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value66 (median 72)6 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies84 (median 62)22 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies71 (median 58)13 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies57 (median 63)6 below the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies58 (median 62)4 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Casinos and Gaming

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 33 Casinos and Gaming stocks

ETFs that hold Monarch Casino & Resort

Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Apr 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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