Red Rock Resorts stock
RRRNASDAQRed Rock Resorts, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US75700L1089
55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
45 / 100
Price history
−16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 14% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 27% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 90% (July 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$50.98
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$57.52
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$47.96
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$67.26
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Red Rock Resorts, Inc. belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.93B, is number 22 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.01B (up 3.7% year on year) and earnings of $188.07M (up 22.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.03B (up 0.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.06 (down 26.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 405 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 24.5 (Casinos and Gaming median 17.4, own median of recent years 17.6).
- Our model puts fair value at $57.83, with the price 13% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 339% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 68
- Share buybacksShare count down 16% since 2020.
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 17.7% a year through 2028 (estimates from 7 analysts).Growth 68
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 13.35 times equity (latest quarter), Casinos and Gaming median 2.29.Stability 33
- Richly valuedP/E 24.5, Casinos and Gaming median 17.4, own median 17.6.Valuation 66
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 3 times.Stability 33
The score is held back by capital allocation and stability.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $41.30 and expensive above $96.38 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $80.71 (cash-flow model) and $34.94 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10%. At 11% the fair value would be $51.38, at 9% it would be $66.82.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.4).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2012, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 53%, operating 30%, net 9%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 9 Feb 2027in 89 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.17 (expected $0.45)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 24.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $2.06−24.0%
- Revenue
- $2.03B+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $2.85−2.6%
- Revenue
- $2.14B−0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −7.1%2026 capital spending of $375 million to $425 million confirmed and construction projects remain on schedule.
“For the full year 2026, we still expect to spend between $375 million and $425 million, which includes $275 to $300 million in investment capital.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $3.04M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Red Rock Resorts
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 55
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Casinos and Gaming
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Société Anonyme des Bains de Mer et du Cercle des Étrangers à MonacoBAIN.PA $4.02B60
- EntainGVC.VI $4.02B47
- Cirsa EnterprisesCIRSA.MC $3.75B68
- Rush Street InteractiveRSI $3.42B59
- PENN EntertainmentPENN $2.43B48
- Monarch Casino & ResortMCRI $1.97B77
- Brightstar LotteryBRSL $1.89B49
- Melco Resorts & EntertainmentMLCO $1.57B55
ETFs that hold Red Rock Resorts
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.13% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.08% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.08% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
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| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.07% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.03% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.02% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 25 Apr 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.