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Brightstar Lottery stock

BRSLNYSE

Brightstar Lottery PLC, Consumer CyclicalISIN GB00BVG7F061

$9.69▼ $0.59 (−5.7%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

49Score 49 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

57 / 100

Price history

−42% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 16% below it.

Trend change

Since December 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 53).

Distance to the high

The price is 42% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 92% (February 2008 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$10.03
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$11.56
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)53
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$9.23
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$16.64
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.89B
Div. yield
8.85%
12 months
12.4
14.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.73 per share)
Fair value
$10.92

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Brightstar Lottery PLC belongs to the Casinos and Gaming industry (United Kingdom) and, with a market value of $1.78B, is number 25 of 33 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.51B (down 0% year on year) and earnings of $147M (down 57.8%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.48B (down 1.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.53 (down 43.5%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 468 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 11.7 (Casinos and Gaming median 17.4, own median of recent years 14.4).
  • Our model puts fair value at $10.92, with the price 6% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High dividend yieldDividend yield 8.85%, Casinos and Gaming median 2.5%.Capital allocation 65
  • Modestly valuedP/E 11.7, Casinos and Gaming median 17.4, own median 14.4.Valuation 76

Weaknesses

  • Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$1.68B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 55
  • Dividend not coveredPayouts over the last 12 months were 104% of earnings.Capital allocation 65
  • Revenue shrinkingRevenue down 4.2% a year since 2020.Growth 21
49/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is valuation, while momentum and growth hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Score since yesterday from 47 to 49.

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency83% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)below −500%
ROIC (12 months)9.0%
Positive free cash flow83% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • price far below its 52-week high

What lowers it

  • low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
  • price not overheated over the past year

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$10.28
Fair value
$10.92
Gap to fair value
−6%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $8.40 and expensive above $15.60 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $7.47 (cash-flow model) and $14.37 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 13.5%. At 14.5% the fair value would be $10.76, at 12.5% it would be $11.11.

Valuation metrics

1.19
5.1
Fair value (model)
$10.92
Earnings part $14.37 (earnings per share $0.83 × 17.4)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (17.4).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

6 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 1.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has declined since 2020 (-4% per year), so it is worth watching closely.

Margins

6 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 50%, operating 35%, net not measured.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
2.29
3.3x
0.94
Cash & equivalents
$538M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
23 Feb 2027in 103 days
Last reported
10 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.10 (expected $0.09)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20266 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.53−0.2%
Revenue
$2.48B−0.1%
Fiscal 20276 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.76−0.3%
Revenue
$2.57B−0.1%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +11.8%

The 2026 revenue, profit and cash flow outlook was reaffirmed, with stronger growth expected in the second half.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We executed well against our strategic priorities in the first half of the year and expect this good progress to deliver stronger revenue and profit growth in the second half of the year.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 4 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Brightstar Lottery

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 468 of 602
468/ 602
This company
49
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies60 (median 53)7 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies21 (median 60)39 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies55 (median 73)18 below the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value76 (median 72)4 above the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies39 (median 62)23 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies65 (median 58)7 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies57 (median 63)6 below the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies35 (median 62)27 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Casinos and Gaming

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 33 Casinos and Gaming stocks

ETFs that hold Brightstar Lottery

Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA0.00%0.07%€3.9B

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak since 11 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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