Yum China Holdings stock
YUMCNYSEYum China Holdings, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US98850P1093
72Score 72 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
+6.5% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 10 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 4.7% above it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 75).
The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 10 years: 58% (June 2021 to July 2024).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$43.77
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$46.85
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)75
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$39.98
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$57.95
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Yum China Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (China) and, with a market value of $16.52B, is number 7 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $11.8B (up 4.4% year on year) and earnings of $929M (up 2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $12.85B (up 8.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $2.95 (up 17.6%).
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- MEQIRI Score 72 out of 100 (Strong): rank 127 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 16.8 (Restaurants median 26, own median of recent years 21.3).
- Our model puts fair value at $72.31, with the price 32% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Below fair valuePrice 32% below the fair value of $72.31.Valuation 80
- Modestly valuedP/E 16.8, Restaurants median 26, own median 21.3.Valuation 80
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 89
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $55.62 and expensive above $103.29 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $68.51 (cash-flow model) and $76.10 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $66.60, at 7.8% it would be $80.87.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2013, at about 5% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 17%, operating 12%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.91 (expected $0.89)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $2.95+0.1%
- Revenue
- $12.85B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $3.36+0.4%
- Revenue
- $13.68B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +5.1%Net new openings target for 2027 and 2028 raised to above 800 per year from above 600, and the KPRO rollout target raised to around 800 locations.
“In 2027 and 2028, we now expect net new openings to exceed 800 per year, up from our original target of over 600.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $2.75M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- DING JerrySale
9 Nov 2026, Chief People Officer
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $49.78
- Value
- $149,329
- Wang WartonSale
6 Nov 2026, General Manager, KFC
- Shares
- 3,700
- Price
- $50.56
- Value
- $187,072
- Zhang LeilaSale
5 Nov 2026, Chief Technology Officer
- Shares
- 4,994
- Price
- $50.55
- Value
- $252,451
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- Wang WartonSale
5 Nov 2026, General Manager, KFC
- Shares
- 5,493
- Price
- $50.64
- Value
- $278,138
- LIU PingpingSale
5 Nov 2026, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 1,062
- Price
- $50.65
- Value
- $53,785
- HUANG Duoduo (Howard)Sale
18 Aug 2026, Chief Supply Chain Officer
- Shares
- 24,096
- Price
- $47.08
- Value
- $1.13M
- Kuai JeffSale
12 Aug 2026, General Manager, Pizza Hut
- Shares
- 14,586
- Price
- $47.72
- Value
- $696,027
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Yum China Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 72
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Chipotle Mexican GrillCMG $46.35B75
- Yum! BrandsYUM $43.72B79
- Restaurant Brands InternationalQSR $26.7B69
- Darden RestaurantsDRI $25.9B74
- Zensho Holdings7550.T $12.48B73
- Texas RoadhouseTXRH $12.36B78
- Domino's PizzaDPZ $10.81B71
- Brinker InternationalEAT $8.34B77
ETFs that hold Yum China Holdings
Held by 65 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amundi MSCI China ESG Selection Extra UCITS ETF AccLCHI | 1.29% | 0.65% | €473.19M |
| iShares Dow Jones China Offshore 50 UCITS ETF (DE)EXXU | 1.19% | 0.62% | €40.6M |
| UBS MSCI China Universal UCITS ETF USD disUETC | 1.15% | 0.30% | €134.65M |
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| iShares BIC 50 UCITS ETFIQQ9 | 0.88% | 0.74% | €99.3M |
| iShares MSCI EM Consumer Growth UCITS ETFCEMG | 0.82% | 0.60% | €31.52M |
| Amundi Global Gender Equality UCITS ETF AccVOOM | 0.76% | 0.20% | €55.72M |
| Xtrackers MSCI China UCITS ETF 1CXCS6 | 0.69% | 0.65% | €1.51B |
| Deka MSCI China ex A Shares UCITS ETFEL46 | 0.67% | 0.65% | €74.12M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.