Brinker International stock
EATNYSEBrinker International, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US1096411004
77Score 77 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
69 / 100
Price history
+74% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 12% above it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 58).
The price is 22% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 89% (February 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$203.66
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$176.47
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)58
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$113.19
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$253.94
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Brinker International, Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (United States) and, with a market value of $8.21B, is number 11 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $5.81B (up 7.9% year on year) and earnings of $487M (up 27.1%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.32B (up 8.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $13.68 (up 27%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 58 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 17 (Restaurants median 26, own median of recent years 16.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $320.36, with the price 37% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 31% a year since 2021.Growth 84
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 25.1% in fiscal 2026, Restaurants median 6.5%.Profitability 77
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 99
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 4.5 times equity (latest quarter), Restaurants median 1.26.Stability 36
- Volatile share priceVolatility 51% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 36
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and momentum, while stability holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $228.83 and expensive above $533.94 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $337.92 (cash-flow model) and $302.81 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $291.62, at 7.8% it would be $363.52.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but high risk.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 23 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2007.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 19%, operating 11%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Jan 2027in 76 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $2.77 (expected $2.45)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have raised their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.2% since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $13.68+3.2%
- Revenue
- $6.32B+0.4%
- Earnings per share
- $14.85+1.9%
- Revenue
- $6.51B+0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +11.8%Brinker confirms its fiscal 2027 targets of revenue of $6.23 to $6.33 billion and adjusted EPS of $13.30 to $13.90, unchanged from prior assumptions.
“Regarding the updated targets, we expect F '27 annual revenues in the range of $6.23 billion to $6.33 billion, adjusted diluted EPS in the range of $13.30 to $13.90, weighted average shares in the range of $42 million to $43 million and capital expenditures in the range of $265 million to $285 million.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 11 insiders sold, $51.25M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Hochman KevinSale
29 Oct 2026, Pres. & CEO
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $220.38
- Value
- $8.82M
- Allen Frances L.Sale
29 Oct 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $216.92
- Value
- $108,460
- Katzman James CSale
9 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 650
- Price
- $220.09
- Value
- $143,059
Show 18 more
- Allen Frances L.Sale
4 Sept 2026, Board
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $234.50
- Value
- $117,250
- Ware Michaela MSale
1 Sept 2026, EVP, Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 3,030
- Price
- $233.48
- Value
- $707,444
- DePinto Joseph MichaelSale
28 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 25,000
- Price
- $230.39
- Value
- $5.76M
- Fuller Daniel SSale
25 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 1,909
- Price
- $253.54
- Value
- $484,008
- Butler James MSale
21 Aug 2026, SVP Chief Supply Chain Officer
- Shares
- 10,000
- Price
- $240.37
- Value
- $2.4M
- Fuller Daniel SSale
17 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 9,960
- Price
- $243.43
- Value
- $2.42M
- Hochman KevinSale
17 Aug 2026, Pres. & CEO
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $243.15
- Value
- $9.73M
- Fuller Daniel SSale
17 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 1,837
- Price
- $245.86
- Value
- $451,645
- Comings Douglas N.Sale
14 Aug 2026, SVP & COO, Chili's
- Shares
- 5,000
- Price
- $236.29
- Value
- $1.18M
- Felix George SSale
14 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Marketing Officer
- Shares
- 14,349
- Price
- $237.47
- Value
- $3.41M
- White Aaron MSale
14 Aug 2026, EVP, COO and CPO
- Shares
- 16,220
- Price
- $236.22
- Value
- $3.83M
- Davis Cindy LSale
13 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,775
- Price
- $248.92
- Value
- $441,833
- Hochman KevinSale
13 Aug 2026, Pres. & CEO
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $241.41
- Value
- $9.66M
- Fuller Daniel SSale
13 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Legal Officer
- Shares
- 3,964
- Price
- $239.63
- Value
- $949,893
- Allen Frances L.Sale
8 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,999
- Price
- $143.46
- Value
- $286,777
- Allen Frances L.Sale
4 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $143.60
- Value
- $143,600
- Allen Frances L.Sale
15 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $135.78
- Value
- $135,780
- Katzman James CSale
14 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 547
- Price
- $128.11
- Value
- $70,076
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Brinker International
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 77
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Yum China HoldingsYUMC $16.52B72
- Zensho Holdings7550.T $12.48B73
- Texas RoadhouseTXRH $12.36B78
- Domino's PizzaDPZ $10.81B71
- Food & Life Companies3563.T $8.24B76
- McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan)2702.T $7.82B73
- Guming1364.HK $7.12B78
- CAVA GroupCAVA $6.99B49
ETFs that hold Brinker International
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.76% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.29% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.28% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.27% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.20% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.12% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.12% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.09% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 24 Jun 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 1 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.