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McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan) stock

2702.TJPX

McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd., Consumer CyclicalISIN JP3750500005

$58.45▼ $0.33 (−0.6%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

73Score 73 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

85 / 100

Price history

+51% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 19% above it.

Trend change

Since August 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 68).

Distance to the high

The price is at its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 37% (January 2007 to October 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$51.11
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$49.00
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)68
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$37.68
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$58.79
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$7.82B
Div. yield
0.6%
12 months
33.4
32.7
on earnings for the next twelve months ($1.80 per share)
Fair value
$47.57

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan), Ltd. belongs to the Restaurants industry (Japan) and, with a market value of $7.77B, is number 13 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.62B (up 2.7% year on year) and earnings of $212.95M (up 6.1%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.6B (down 0.6%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.71 (up 6.6%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 73 out of 100 (Strong): rank 102 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 33.2 (Consumer Cyclical sector median 21.1, own median of recent years 30.3).
  • Our model puts fair value at $47.57, with the price 24% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • More cash than debtCash $427.87M, financial debt $376.8K.Stability 93
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 24 years.Capital allocation 77
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 75

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

73/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are stability and momentum, while valuation holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)42%
ROIC (12 months)17.8%
Positive free cash flow90% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk not measured

How well MEQIRI warns

For stocks from Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Korea, Canada, India and Brazil we only show crash risk once a separate backtest shows that it warns as well there as in the US and Europe.

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$58.79
Fair value
$47.57
Gap to fair value
+24%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $36.59 and expensive above $67.95 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $57.87 (cash-flow model) and $37.26 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 6.1%. At 7.1% the fair value would be $42.29, at 5.1% it would be $55.53.

Valuation metrics

6.3
15.7
Fair value (model)
$47.57
Earnings part $37.26 (earnings per share $1.76 × 21.1)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the sector P/E (21.1).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue was roughly flat on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 21%, operating 13%, net 8%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0
> 100x
1.77
Cash & equivalents
$427.87M

The balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Feb 2027in 90 days
Last reported
10 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.51

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 28 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20263 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.710.0%
Revenue
$2.6B0.0%
Fiscal 20273 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.810.0%
Revenue
$2.6B0.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 28 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan)

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 102 of 602
102/ 602
This company
73
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies62 (median 53)9 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies65 (median 60)5 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies75 (median 73)2 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value36 (median 72)36 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies93 (median 62)31 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies77 (median 58)19 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies85 (median 63)22 above the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies92 (median 62)30 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Restaurants

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 42 Restaurants stocks

ETFs that hold McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan)

Held by 24 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
iShares MSCI Japan Small Cap UCITS ETFIUS40.38%0.58%€547.15M
Amundi Prime Japan UCITS ETF DR (D)PR1J0.09%0.05%€4.21B
Amundi Japan TOPIX II UCITS ETF EUR DistLYY40.08%0.45%€616.53M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = ¥159.23)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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