Texas Roadhouse stock
TXRHNASDAQTexas Roadhouse, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US8826811098
77Score 77 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
67 / 100
Price history
+11% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 4.0% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 67).
The price is 13% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 72% (February 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$172.25
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$178.76
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)67
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$155.88
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$214.28
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Texas Roadhouse, Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (United States) and, with a market value of $12.21B, is number 9 of 41 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.88B (up 9.4% year on year) and earnings of $405.55M (down 6.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.52B (up 10.9%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.49 (up 6.5%).
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- MEQIRI Score 77 out of 100 (Strong): rank 62 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 29.2 (Restaurants median 25, own median of recent years 27.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $196.98, with the price 6% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 68.5% a year since 2020.Growth 98
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 19.6% a year since 2020, Restaurants median 12.7%.Growth 98
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 15 years.Capital allocation 86
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are growth and fundamentals.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 78 to 77.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $151.52 and expensive above $281.39 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $234.77 (cash-flow model) and $159.18 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $176.06, at 7.8% it would be $228.47.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (25).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 29 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 13% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 9%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with moderate debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.36 (expected $1.46)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $6.49−1.0%
- Revenue
- $6.52B−0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $7.67−1.6%
- Revenue
- $7.14B−0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −0.2%2026 commodity inflation expectation lowered to about 5% (previously 6% to 7%) and tax rate to about 14%; capex of about $400 million unchanged, no revenue or earnings guidance changed.
“And based on our updated forecast, we are reducing our full year 2026 commodity inflation guidance from between 6-7% to approximately 5%. We will provide an initial outlook on 2027 commodity inflation during our quarterly call in November.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 10 insiders sold, $4.89M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Warfield CurtisSale
10 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,316
- Price
- $190.19
- Value
- $250,285
- Marshall Lloyd PaulSale
26 Aug 2026, CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER
- Shares
- 500
- Price
- $204.65
- Value
- $102,325
- Carroll Hugh JSale
25 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 650
- Price
- $203.99
- Value
- $132,594
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- Morgan Gerald L.Sale
21 Aug 2026, CEO, EXECUTIVE VICE CHAIRMAN
- Shares
- 15,000
- Price
- $202.17
- Value
- $3.03M
- Humpich KeithSale
17 Aug 2026, CHIEF ACCT & FIN SVCS OFFCR
- Shares
- 819
- Price
- $204.11
- Value
- $167,166
- Epps Donna ESale
17 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 820
- Price
- $206.56
- Value
- $169,379
- Moore Gregory NSale
11 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $208.32
- Value
- $624,960
- Renfroe Sean GSale
2 Jul 2026, GENERAL COUNSEL
- Shares
- 426
- Price
- $192.53
- Value
- $82,018
- Colson Christopher C.Sale
26 May 2026, CHIEF BUSINESS & ADMIN OFFICER
- Shares
- 499
- Price
- $179.22
- Value
- $89,431
- Abell Jane GroteSale
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 339
- Price
- $177.43
- Value
- $60,149
- Marshall Lloyd PaulSale
14 May 2026, CHIEF GROWTH OFFICER
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $178.34
- Value
- $178,340
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Texas Roadhouse
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 77
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Restaurant Brands InternationalQSR $26.29B69
- Darden RestaurantsDRI $25.79B73
- Yum China HoldingsYUMC $16.58B71
- Zensho Holdings7550.T $12.3B72
- Domino's PizzaDPZ $10.96B71
- Brinker InternationalEAT $8.21B77
- Food & Life Companies3563.T $7.99B74
- McDonald's Holdings Company (Japan)2702.T $7.75B73
ETFs that hold Texas Roadhouse
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.38% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.23% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.12% | 0.35% | €8.27B |
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| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.11% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| iShares World Equity High Income Active UCITS ETF USDWINC | 0.09% | 0.35% | €955.74M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.08% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| WisdomTree Global Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTEM | 0.07% | 0.38% | €1.5B |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.04% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 14 Nov 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.