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Yum! Brands stock

YUMNYSE

Yum! Brands, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US9884981013

$159.34▼ $0.87 (−0.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

79Score 79 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

69 / 100

Price history

+6.7% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 3.7% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 69).

Distance to the high

The price is 5.2% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 53% (September 2019 to March 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$147.48
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$153.71
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)69
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$135.75
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$168.16
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$43.72B
Div. yield
1.85%
12 months
12.8
includes one-off items, adjusted 24.9
23.4
on earnings for the next twelve months ($6.86 per share)
Fair value
$165.59

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Yum! Brands, Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (United States) and, with a market value of $43.48B, is number 4 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.21B (up 8.8% year on year) and earnings of $1.56B (up 4.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $8.74B (up 6.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.44 (up 6.4%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 79 out of 100 (Strong): rank 38 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • Our model puts fair value at $165.59, with the price 3% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 48.6% in fiscal 2025, Restaurants median 6.5%.Profitability 100
  • High marginNet margin 39.1% over the last 12 months, Restaurants median 4.4%.Profitability 100
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 22 years.Capital allocation 96

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

79/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are profitability and capital allocation.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)47%
ROIC (12 months)104.2%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Fairly valued
Price
$160.21
Fair value
$165.59
Gap to fair value
−3%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $137.99 and expensive above $206.98 (uncertainty low, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $136.88, at 7.8% it would be $208.73.

Valuation metrics

1.18
11.6
Fair value (model)
$165.59

From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 9.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 46%, operating 31%, net 19%. Last 12 months: net 39%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
−1.63
5.2x
0.96
Cash & equivalents
$2.11B

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
3 Feb 2027in 83 days
Last reported
3 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.56 (expected $1.51)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.5% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20266 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.44−1.2%
Revenue
$8.74B−1.6%
Fiscal 202715 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.92−3.5%
Revenue
$8.75B−4.4%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook confirmed

Share price after the results: +0.9%

Pizza Hut sees a meaningful near term sales impact that management expects to be temporary; KFC is expected to deliver its best development year ever.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“As you would expect, the brand has seen a meaningful near-term sales impact, which Roy will discuss in more detail. We expect the sales impact to be temporary and are encouraged by a few factors.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 30 Jul 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 7 insiders sold, $7.22M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Skeans Tracy LSale

    4 Nov 2026, COO and CPO

    Shares
    13,812
    Price
    $162.00
    Value
    $2.24M
  • Mezvinsky ScottSale

    4 Nov 2026, KFC Division CEO

    Shares
    273
    Price
    $160.00
    Value
    $43,680
  • Turner Christopher LeeSale

    4 Nov 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    254
    Price
    $160.00
    Value
    $40,640
Show 17 more
  • Burkhardt ErikaSale

    4 Nov 2026, Chief Legal Officer & Corp Secretary

    Shares
    652
    Price
    $163.20
    Value
    $106,406
  • Turner Christopher LeeSale

    7 Oct 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    285
    Price
    $140.11
    Value
    $39,931
  • Mezvinsky ScottSale

    1 Oct 2026, KFC Division CEO

    Shares
    241
    Price
    $136.89
    Value
    $32,990
  • Mezvinsky ScottSale

    1 Sept 2026, KFC Division CEO

    Shares
    268
    Price
    $153.64
    Value
    $41,176
  • Turner Christopher LeeSale

    1 Sept 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    261
    Price
    $153.64
    Value
    $40,100
  • Skeans Tracy LSale

    24 Aug 2026, COO and CPO

    Shares
    3,494
    Price
    $158.00
    Value
    $552,052
  • Russell David EricSale

    3 Aug 2026, Sr. Vice President, Controller

    Shares
    7,961
    Price
    $153.15
    Value
    $1.22M
  • Mezvinsky ScottSale

    3 Aug 2026, KFC Division CEO

    Shares
    268
    Price
    $153.15
    Value
    $41,044
  • Turner Christopher LeeSale

    3 Aug 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    261
    Price
    $153.15
    Value
    $39,972
  • Mezvinsky ScottSale

    1 Jul 2026, KFC Division CEO

    Shares
    277
    Price
    $160.42
    Value
    $44,436
  • Powell AaronSale

    1 Jul 2026, CEO - Pizza Hut

    Shares
    6,001
    Price
    $160.42
    Value
    $962,680
  • Turner Christopher LeeSale

    1 Jul 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    250
    Price
    $160.42
    Value
    $40,105
  • Mezvinsky ScottSale

    1 Jun 2026, KFC Division CEO

    Shares
    261
    Price
    $148.14
    Value
    $38,665
  • Turner Christopher LeeSale

    1 Jun 2026, Chief Executive Officer

    Shares
    270
    Price
    $148.14
    Value
    $39,998
  • Tresvant SeanSale

    26 May 2026, Taco Bell, CEO, YUM CCO

    Shares
    3,000
    Price
    $154.68
    Value
    $464,040
  • Powell AaronSale

    19 May 2026, CEO - Pizza Hut

    Shares
    6,001
    Price
    $152.35
    Value
    $914,252
  • Skeans Tracy LSale

    15 May 2026, COO and CPO

    Shares
    1,837
    Price
    $152.00
    Value
    $279,224

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Yum! Brands

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 38 of 602
38/ 602
This company
79
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies100 (median 53)47 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies75 (median 60)15 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies84 (median 73)11 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value64 (median 72)8 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies61 (median 62)1 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies96 (median 58)38 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies69 (median 63)6 above the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies69 (median 62)7 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Restaurants

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 42 Restaurants stocks

ETFs that hold Yum! Brands

Held by 129 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 9 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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