Wingstop stock
WINGNASDAQWingstop Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US9741551033
78Score 78 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
62 / 100
Price history
−34% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 11 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.4% above it.
Since October 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 73).
The price is 44% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 11 years: 77% (June 2024 to September 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$124.69
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$158.63
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)73
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$97.84
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$284.66
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Wingstop Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.31B, is number 20 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $696.85M (up 11.4% year on year) and earnings of $174.27M (up 60.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $747.04M (up 7.2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $4.16 (up 2%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 78 out of 100 (Strong): rank 52 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 36.9 (Restaurants median 26, own median of recent years 82.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $159.63, with the price 4% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 51.1% a year since 2020.Growth 93
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 46.2% in fiscal 2025, Restaurants median 6.5%.Profitability 89
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 22.9% a year since 2020, Restaurants median 12.7%.Growth 93
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 63% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 57
- Share price fell sharplyDown 33% over the last 12 months.Momentum 60
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and growth, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $106.42 and expensive above $319.26 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $207.13 (cash-flow model) and $112.13 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $140.48, at 7.8% it would be $188.52.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 26 Sep 2026, revenue rose 6.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2012, at around 22% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 83%, operating 28%, net 25%. Last 12 months: net 16%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Feb 2027in 97 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.08 (expected $1.02)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 5.8% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $4.16−5.8%
- Revenue
- $747.04M−2.3%
- Earnings per share
- $5.03−5.7%
- Revenue
- $856.18M−3.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: +17.7%Wingstop cut its full year domestic same store sales outlook to a decline of 6.5% to 7.0% (previously less negative), raised marketing spend, and now expects lower adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter as a result.
“With that in mind, we have updated our full year domestic same store sales outlook to a decline of approximately 6.5% to 7.0%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $629,592 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Wingstop
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 78
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Haidilao International Holding6862.HK $6.83B69
- Dutch BrosBROS $6.58B47
- Cheesecake FactoryCAKE $5.47B65
- Skylark Holdings3197.T $5.25B63
- Shake ShackSHAK $3.03B45
- DODOC.VI $2.75B74
- Chagee HoldingsCHA $2.35B71
- Wendy'sWEN $1.59B57
ETFs that hold Wingstop
Held by 10 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.14% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.08% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.04% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.04% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.02% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 27 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 20 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.