Chagee Holdings stock
CHANASDAQChagee Holdings Limited, Consumer CyclicalISIN US15743P1049
71Score 71 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
77 / 100
Price history
−16% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 2 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 11% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 2 years: 74% (May 2025 to April 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.02
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.15
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)48
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$9.16
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$16.24
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Chagee Holdings Limited belongs to the Restaurants industry (China) and, with a market value of $2.35B, is number 23 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.93B (up 4% year on year) and earnings of $175.57M (down 53.5%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 133 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 11.9 (Restaurants median 26, own median of recent years 13).
- Our model puts fair value at $26.51, with the price 53% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 197.2% a year since 2022, Restaurants median 12.7%.Growth 83
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 7.06%, Restaurants median 2.49%.Capital allocation 57
- Below fair valuePrice 53% below the fair value of $26.51.Valuation 95
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 10.4%, average of the prior years 23.1% (to 2024).Profitability 68
- Volatile share priceVolatility 54% a year over the last 12 months.
Its standout strengths are valuation and growth.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 72 to 71.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansValuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $18.93 and expensive above $44.18 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $25.98 (cash-flow model) and $27.04 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.3%. At 8.3% the fair value would be $24.61, at 6.3% it would be $29.34.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 3.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2022, at around 197% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 46%, operating 10%, net 9%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 27 Nov 2026in 15 days
- Last reported
- 28 Aug 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 9.32+0.4%
- Revenue
- $2.15B+1.3%
- Earnings per share
- 10.51+1.3%
- Revenue
- $2.44B+2.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +12.4%Same-store sales in August are expected to turn positive year-over-year.
“Based on trends so far, we expect same-store sales in August to turn positive year-over-year.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 28 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Chagee Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 71
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Skylark Holdings3197.T $5.25B63
- WingstopWING $4.51B78
- Shake ShackSHAK $3.03B45
- DODOC.VI $2.75B74
- Wendy'sWEN $1.59B57
- SweetgreenSG $1.53B48
- Cracker Barrel Old Country StoreCBRL $1.48B48
- Arcos Dorados HoldingsARCO $1.46B53
ETFs that hold Chagee Holdings
Held by 1 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rize Sustainable Future of Food UCITS ETFRIZF | 2.24% | 0.45% | €59.51M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6707)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.