Arcos Dorados Holdings stock
ARCONYSEArcos Dorados Holdings Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN VGG0457F1071
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
29 / 100
Price history
−7.8% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 16 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 14% below it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 26).
The price is 26% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 16 years: 92% (September 2011 to February 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$7.54
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$8.18
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)26
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$6.73
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$9.50
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (Uruguay) and, with a market value of $1.47B, is number 27 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.68B (up 4.7% year on year) and earnings of $212.12M (up 42.6%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.26B (up 12.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.80 (down 6.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 420 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 5.7 (Restaurants median 26, own median of recent years 14.8).
- Our model puts fair value at $22.82, with the price 70% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 5.7, Restaurants median 26, own median 14.8.Valuation 97
- Below fair valuePrice 70% below the fair value of $22.82.Valuation 97
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 3.89%, Restaurants median 2.49%.Capital allocation 59
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 2.64 times equity (latest quarter), Restaurants median 1.26.Stability 45
Its standout strength is valuation, while momentum and technical analysis hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $16.30 and expensive above $38.03 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $13.95 (cash-flow model) and $31.69 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 14.1%. At 15.1% the fair value would be $22.07, at 13.1% it would be $23.74.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 10.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 12%, operating 7%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 18 Mar 2027in 126 days
- Last reported
- 12 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.15 (expected $0.14)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.80+0.8%
- Revenue
- $5.26B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $0.830.0%
- Revenue
- $5.63B+0.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +0.1%Trends at the start of the third quarter are in line with expectations; Argentina remains more challenging than expected.
“What we are seeing in the beginning of the third quarter is that the trends are in line with our expectations.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 13 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $442,459 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Arcos Dorados Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Chagee HoldingsCHA $2.35B71
- Wendy'sWEN $1.59B57
- SweetgreenSG $1.53B48
- Cracker Barrel Old Country StoreCBRL $1.48B48
- BJ's RestaurantsBJRI $1.22B59
- Biglari HoldingsBH $1.14B43
- Bloomin' BrandsBLMN $877.25M57
- First Watch Restaurant GroupFWRG $837.01M42
ETFs that hold Arcos Dorados Holdings
Held by 2 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree Emerging Markets SmallCap Dividend UCITS ETFWTED | 0.08% | 0.54% | €35.5M |
| UBS Core MSCI EM UCITS ETF USD disUIMI | 0.01% | 0.15% | €10.33B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 10 Oct 2025)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.