Bloomin' Brands stock
BLMNNASDAQBloomin' Brands, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US0942351083
57Score 57 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
82 / 100
Price history
+56% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 14 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 26% above it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 58).
The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 14 years: 83% (April 2021 to March 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$9.20
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$8.02
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)58
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.26
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$11.85
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Bloomin' Brands, Inc. belongs to the Restaurants industry (United States) and, with a market value of $867.81M, is number 30 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.98B (up 0.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.97 (down 15.9%).
- MEQIRI Score 57 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 367 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
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- Our model puts fair value at $7.53, with the price 36% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 136% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 73
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 0.9%, average of the prior years 6.8% (to 2024).Profitability 37
- High debtDebt 4.55 times equity (latest quarter), Restaurants median 1.26.Stability 8
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.7 times.Stability 8
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while profitability and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
What lowers it
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $5.02 and expensive above $15.06 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $6.74, at 11.8% it would be $8.52.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1.1% on the twelve months before. Up to 2021 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 6.6% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 13%, operating 1%, net 0%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Feb 2027in 104 days
- Last reported
- 6 Nov 2026EPS reported −$0.17 (expected −$0.24)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.97+0.1%
- Revenue
- $3.98B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $1.08−0.5%
- Revenue
- $4.05B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +22.0%2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised to $0.90 to $1.00 from $0.75 to $0.90.
“Our previous guidance was between $0.75 and $0.90.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Bloomin' Brands
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 57
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Cracker Barrel Old Country StoreCBRL $1.48B48
- Arcos Dorados HoldingsARCO $1.46B53
- BJ's RestaurantsBJRI $1.22B59
- Biglari HoldingsBH $1.14B43
- First Watch Restaurant GroupFWRG $837.01M42
- Cannae HoldingsCNNE $731.72M40
- Papa John's InternationalPZZA $632.18M44
- SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGHDL $582.48M48
ETFs that hold Bloomin' Brands
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.11% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.07% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.03% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
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| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.03% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.03% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 9 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.