Wendy's stock
WENNASDAQThe Wendy's Company, Consumer CyclicalISIN US95058W1009
57Score 57 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
63 / 100
Price history
−6.3% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 11% above it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 90).
The price is 10% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 87% (December 2006 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.96
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$7.35
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)90
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$6.10
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$9.12
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- The Wendy's Company belongs to the Restaurants industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.56B, is number 24 of 42 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.18B (down 3.1% year on year) and earnings of $165.08M (down 15.1%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.19B (up 0.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.49 (down 45.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 57 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 379 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 16.2 (Restaurants median 26, own median of recent years 23.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $8.96, with the price 7% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 229% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 82
- Share buybacksShare count down 13% since 2020.Capital allocation 60
- Modestly valuedP/E 16.2, Restaurants median 26, own median 23.5.Valuation 66
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 32.56 times equity (latest quarter), Restaurants median 1.26.Stability 35
- Volatile share priceVolatility 62% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 35
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.8 times.Stability 35
Its standout strength is fundamentals, while growth and stability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $5.98 and expensive above $17.93 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $4.79 (cash-flow model) and $13.14 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $8.76, at 11.8% it would be $9.22.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (26).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 27 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 27%, operating 15%, net 8%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 12 Feb 2027in 92 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.13 (expected $0.09)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 4.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $0.49−1.8%
- Revenue
- $2.19B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $0.48−4.7%
- Revenue
- $2.17B−0.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −1.2%2026 financial outlook withdrawn after Q2 fell short of expectations and traffic did not increase as expected.
The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Wendy's
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 57
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Restaurants
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- WingstopWING $4.51B78
- Shake ShackSHAK $3.03B45
- DODOC.VI $2.75B74
- Chagee HoldingsCHA $2.35B71
- SweetgreenSG $1.53B48
- Cracker Barrel Old Country StoreCBRL $1.48B48
- Arcos Dorados HoldingsARCO $1.46B53
- BJ's RestaurantsBJRI $1.22B59
ETFs that hold Wendy's
Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.10% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.09% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.07% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
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| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.05% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.05% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.05% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.04% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.03% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 28 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 31 Mar 2021)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.