Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) stock
SCA-A.STSTOBasic MaterialsISIN SE0000171886
51Score 51 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
57 / 100
Price history
−5.3% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 8.3% above it.
Since September 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 36).
The price is 5.7% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 61% (March 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$12.21
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$11.20
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)36
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$9.77
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$12.87
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) belongs to the Paper and Forest Products industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $8.52B, is number 4 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.06B (up 1% year on year) and earnings of $322.7M (down 11.9%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.04B (down 0.8%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.36 (down 19.9%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 51 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 317 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 39.2 (Paper and Forest Products median 21.5, own median of recent years 16.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $4.21, with the price 185% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 33.1% a year since 2020.Growth 53
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 60
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 185% above the fair value of $4.21.Valuation 24
- Margin fallingOperating margin 11.4%, average of the prior years 26.9% (to 2024).Profitability 33
- Richly valuedP/E 39.2, Paper and Forest Products median 21.5, own median 16.5.Valuation 24
Its standout strength is stability, while profitability and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $3.00 and expensive above $7.01 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $1.74 (cash-flow model) and $6.67 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.2%. At 8.2% the fair value would be $4.07, at 6.2% it would be $4.41.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (21.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 3.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2017. From 2017 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2017 are not measured.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 9%, operating 11%, net 16%. From 2017 revenue only includes continuing operations, sold or discontinued divisions have been reclassified. Earlier years are not comparable and not shown, and the margins for 2017 are not measured.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterLow debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 29 Jan 2027in 78 days
- Last reported
- 23 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.11 (expected $0.10)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 10 Nov 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.360.0%
- Revenue
- $2.04B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.490.0%
- Revenue
- $2.19B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 10 Nov 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
What happened at Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 51
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Paper and Forest Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- International PaperIP $18.36B43
- UPM-KymmeneUPM.HE $12.91B55
- SuzanoSUZ $11.92B59
- Shandong Sunpaper002078.SZ $5.61B55
- Louisiana-PacificLPX $5.32B50
- West Fraser TimberWFG $5.04B38
- HolmenHOLM-B.ST $4.53B54
- UFP IndustriesUFPI $4.37B59
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9317)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.