Louisiana-Pacific stock
LPXNYSELouisiana-Pacific Corporation, Basic MaterialsISIN US5463471053
49Score 49 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
60 / 100
Price history
−3.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.4% above it.
Since April 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).
The price is 24% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 95% (January 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$69.37
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$74.49
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)52
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$64.55
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$98.57
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Louisiana-Pacific Corporation belongs to the Paper and Forest Products industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.23B, is number 6 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.71B (down 7.9% year on year) and earnings of $146M (down 65.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.51B (down 7.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.12 (down 57.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 49 out of 100 (Weak): rank 330 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
- The P/E is 77 (Paper and Forest Products median 20.2, own median of recent years 9.7).
- Our model puts fair value at $35.37, with the price 111% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 73.2% a year through 2027 (estimates from 9 analysts).
- Share buybacksShare count down 37% since 2020.Capital allocation 69
Weaknesses
- Richly valuedP/E 77, Paper and Forest Products median 20.2, own median 9.7.Valuation 30
- Above fair valuePrice 111% above the fair value of $35.37.Valuation 30
- Margin fallingOperating margin 9.6%, average of the prior years 25.6% (to 2024).Profitability 28
Its standout strength is stability, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 50 to 49.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $25.26 and expensive above $58.95 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $51.09 (cash-flow model) and $19.65 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $30.97, at 7.8% it would be $41.97.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (20.2).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 11.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $2.71B in 2025 after $3.85B in 2022.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 22%, operating 10%, net 5%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 16 Feb 2027in 95 days
- Last reported
- 3 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.39 (expected $0.21)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 7.0% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.12+5.5%
- Revenue
- $2.51B+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $2.77−7.0%
- Revenue
- $2.72B−2.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −1.2%The full-year Siding guidance for revenue, EBITDA and margin was affirmed, and capital spending was cut by $70 million to about $320 million.
“To give you the math, that is a $70 million reduction from our prior guidance for full year capital.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $89,238 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Bruce Lizanne MSale
15 Jun 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,141
- Price
- $78.21
- Value
- $89,238
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Louisiana-Pacific
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
461 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 49
- Sector median
- 57
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Paper and Forest Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- UPM-KymmeneUPM.HE $13.04B55
- SuzanoSUZ $12.29B59
- Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)SCA-A.ST $8.49B52
- Shandong Sunpaper002078.SZ $5.53B55
- West Fraser TimberWFG $5.01B37
- HolmenHOLM-B.ST $4.56B55
- UFP IndustriesUFPI $4.32B57
- NavigatorNVG.LS $2.4B50
ETFs that hold Louisiana-Pacific
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.15% | 0.30% | €5.36B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.12% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.07% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
Show 5 more
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.05% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.04% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| WisdomTree US Quality Dividend Growth UCITS ETF USD AccWTDM | 0.04% | 0.33% | €721.26M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak since 13 Nov 2026, previously Neutral
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.