West Fraser Timber stock
WFGNYSEWest Fraser Timber Co. Ltd., Basic MaterialsISIN CA9528451052
38Score 38 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
+9.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 19 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 1.8% below it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 35).
The price is 14% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 19 years: 79% (June 2018 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$68.15
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$67.10
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)35
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$58.06
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$76.69
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd. belongs to the Paper and Forest Products industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $5.01B, is number 7 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $5.55B (down 10.1% year on year) and a loss of $952.63M.
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $5.43B (down 2.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$5.06.
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- MEQIRI Score 38 out of 100 (Weak): rank 411 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- Our model puts fair value at $36.28, with the price 83% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 12 years.Capital allocation 50
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin −8.7%, average of the prior years 19% (to 2024).Profitability 13
- Above fair valuePrice 83% above the fair value of $36.28.Valuation 17
- Loss-makingLoss of $1.03B over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 39
The score is held back by profitability and growth.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 39 to 38.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $27.91 and expensive above $51.83 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $29.12, at 7.8% it would be $47.06.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 14.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 4% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross −1%, operating −9%, net −17%. Last 12 months: net −24%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported −$1.03 (expected −$0.84)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 177.9% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- −$5.06−22.2%
- Revenue
- $5.43B−2.7%
- Earnings per share
- −$0.66−177.9%
- Revenue
- $5.81B−6.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −2.2%West Fraser now expects lumber and OSB shipments toward the low end of its prior guidance ranges, alongside additional mill curtailments (Leola, Huguley) due to weak demand.
“We expect North American product shipments, including SPF and SYP lumber, to be toward the lower end of our guidance range of 2.4 billion-2.7 billion board feet, and North American OSB shipments to be toward the lower end of the 5.9 billion-6.3 billion square feet range on a three-eighths basis.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at West Fraser Timber
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 38
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Paper and Forest Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- SuzanoSUZ $11.92B59
- Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ)SCA-A.ST $8.42B51
- Shandong Sunpaper002078.SZ $5.61B55
- Louisiana-PacificLPX $5.32B50
- HolmenHOLM-B.ST $4.53B54
- UFP IndustriesUFPI $4.37B59
- Boise CascadeBCC $2.42B54
- NavigatorNVG.LS $2.4B50
ETFs that hold West Fraser Timber
Held by 7 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.04% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| Invesco RAFI All-World Fundamental Value UCITS ETFPSWD | 0.03% | 0.39% | €446.84M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
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| Vanguard ESG Global All Cap UCITS ETF (USD) AccumulatingV3AA | 0.00% | 0.24% | €1.69B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.00% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 13 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.