Boise Cascade stock
BCCNYSEBoise Cascade Company, Basic MaterialsISIN US09739D1000
54Score 54 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
37 / 100
Price history
−3.4% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 14 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 11% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 34).
The price is 25% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 14 years: 68% (February 2015 to February 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$75.23
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$76.68
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)34
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$65.47
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$91.03
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Boise Cascade Company belongs to the Paper and Forest Products industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.36B, is number 10 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $6.4B (down 4.8% year on year) and earnings of $132.84M (down 64.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $6.62B (up 3.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.25 (down 8.2%).
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- MEQIRI Score 54 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 279 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
- The P/E is 19.8 (Paper and Forest Products median 21.5, own median of recent years 15).
- Our model puts fair value at $80.53, with the price 14% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 82
- Share buybacksShare count down 6% since 2020.Capital allocation 70
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 18.9% a year through 2028 (estimates from 5 analysts).
Weaknesses
- Margin fallingOperating margin 2.8%, average of the prior years 9.1% (to 2024).Profitability 31
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while profitability and growth hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 55 to 54.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
- low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $61.95 and expensive above $115.04 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $87.02 (cash-flow model) and $74.04 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $72.90, at 7.8% it would be $91.99.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (21.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1.2% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2009, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 14%, operating 3%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 22 Feb 2027in 102 days
- Last reported
- 2 Nov 2026EPS reported $1.04 (expected $1.12)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 25.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $3.25−16.4%
- Revenue
- $6.62B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $3.75−25.7%
- Revenue
- $6.78B−1.5%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook mixed
Share price after the results: +13.2%Revenue pressure in decking, siding and trim and a moderating sales pace are expected with gross margin of 14% to 14.75%, while an EWP price increase of about 3% should begin to take effect in the third quarter.
“Gross margins are expected to be between 14% and 14.75%. In Wood Products, we announced an EWP price increase in the latter part of the second quarter that we expect to increase our pricing by approximately 3% when fully implemented.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 3 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $665,842 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Boise Cascade
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
467 rated companies in Basic Materials
- This company
- 54
- Sector median
- 58
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Paper and Forest Products
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Louisiana-PacificLPX $5.32B50
- West Fraser TimberWFG $5.04B38
- HolmenHOLM-B.ST $4.53B54
- UFP IndustriesUFPI $4.37B59
- NavigatorNVG.LS $2.4B50
- BillerudKorsnäsBILL.ST $2.19B52
- Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPSSEM.LS $1.76B45
- SylvamoSLVM $1.54B61
ETFs that hold Boise Cascade
Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.15% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.13% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.11% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
Show 5 more
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.10% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.09% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.09% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.04% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.03% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 19 Jun 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.