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Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS stock

SEM.LSLIS

Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A., Basic MaterialsISIN PTSEM0AM0004

$22.01▼ $0.04 (−0.2%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

45Score 45 out of 100, Weak

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

48 / 100

Price history

+11% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 7.8% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).

Distance to the high

The price is 19% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 73% (June 2018 to October 2020).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$22.22
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$23.87
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)64
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$18.16
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$27.15
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.76B
Div. yield
3.16%
12 months
156.6
Fair value
$13.49

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS, S.A. belongs to the Paper and Forest Products industry (Portugal) and, with a market value of $1.76B, is number 13 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.35B (down 25.8% year on year) and earnings of $174.25M (down 32.7%).
  • MEQIRI Score 45 out of 100 (Weak): rank 364 of 467 in Basic Materials, median 58.
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  • The P/E is 156.3 (Paper and Forest Products median 21.5, own median of recent years 7.4).
  • Our model puts fair value at $13.49, with the price 64% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 66

Weaknesses

  • Richly valuedP/E 156.3, Paper and Forest Products median 21.5, own median 7.4.Valuation 37
  • Analysts expect falling earningsDown 45.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 3 analysts).Growth 26
  • Margin fallingOperating margin 8.8%, average of the prior years 15.1% (to 2024).Profitability 22
45/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

Its standout strength is stability, while growth and profitability hold the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−3.3%
Positive free cash flow90% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly overvalued
Price
$22.05
Fair value
$13.49
Gap to fair value
+64%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $9.63 and expensive above $22.48 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).

The two parts of the fair value come to $23.94 (cash-flow model) and $3.03 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.8%. At 10.8% the fair value would be $12.41, at 8.8% it would be $14.90.

Valuation metrics

no data
5.4
Fair value (model)
$13.49
Earnings part $3.03 (earnings per share $0.14 × 21.5)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (21.5).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the quarter to 30 Jun 2026, revenue fell 29.4% on the same quarter a year earlier. Revenue has changed sharply in recent years: $2.35B in 2025 after $3.47B in 2022.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 55%, operating 9%, net not measured.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.45
2.3x
2.18
Cash & equivalents
$1.19B

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
3 Mar 2027in 111 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.24

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 10.1% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20262 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.11+43.6%
Revenue
$2.32B−12.7%
Fiscal 20273 analysts
Earnings per share
$1.91−10.1%
Revenue
$2.53B−9.0%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

467 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 364 of 467
364/ 467
This company
45
Sector median
58

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 467 companies22 (median 49)27 below the median
GrowthMedian of 467 companies26 (median 54)28 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 467 companies66 (median 65)1 above the median
ValuationMedian of 426 companies with a value37 (median 69)32 below the median
StabilityMedian of 467 companies70 (median 67)3 above the median
Capital allocationMedian of 467 companies42 (median 52)10 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 467 companies48 (median 54)6 below the median
MomentumMedian of 467 companies54 (median 51)3 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Paper and Forest Products

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 23 Paper and Forest Products stocks

ETFs that hold Semapa - Sociedade de Investimento e Gestão, SGPS

Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.8987)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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