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Metsä Board stock

METSB.HEHEL

Metsä Board Oyj, Basic MaterialsISIN FI0009000665

$3.30▲ $0.02 (+0.7%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

35Score 35 out of 100, Weak

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Price and trend

58 / 100

Price history

+2.4% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Below the 200-day line: the price is 1.3% below it.

Trend change

Since August 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 49).

Distance to the high

The price is 17% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 97% (April 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$3.57
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$3.35
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)49
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$2.84
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$3.99
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$1.17B
Div. yield
no dividend
Loss
includes one-off items
16.1
on earnings for the next twelve months ($0.20 per share)
Fair value
$1.51

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Metsä Board Oyj belongs to the Paper and Forest Products industry (Finland) and, with a market value of $1.17B, is number 15 of 23 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.97B (down 8.4% year on year) and a loss of $173.64M.
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.82B (down 7.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of −$0.04.
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  • MEQIRI Score 35 out of 100 (Weak): rank 414 of 461 in Basic Materials, median 57.
  • Our model puts fair value at $1.51, with the price 119% above it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

None of our strength checks applies.

Weaknesses

  • Margin fallingOperating margin −7.4%, average of the prior years 12% (to 2024).Profitability 12
  • Above fair valuePrice 119% above the fair value of $1.51.Valuation 19
  • Loss-makingLoss of $125.33M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 52
35/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Weak

The score is held back by profitability and growth.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

The fundamentals are in the middle range.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)not measured
ROIC (12 months)−2.8%
Positive free cash flow70% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among smaller stocks.

From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.

What drives the risk

  • cyclical sector (energy or materials), as a group, crashed more often in the backtest
  • weak fundamentals

What lowers it

  • low growth grade (crashed less often in the backtest)

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly overvalued
Price
$3.30
Fair value
$1.51
Gap to fair value
+119%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $1.16 and expensive above $2.16 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.9%. At 8.9% the fair value would be $1.27, at 6.9% it would be $1.86.

Valuation metrics

no data
19.7
Fair value (model)
$1.51

From the dividend model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 11.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has declined since 2006 (-5% per year), so it is worth watching closely.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross −1%, operating −7%, net −9%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
0.37
−8.3x
1.66
Cash & equivalents
$327.78M

Debt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
4 Feb 2027in 83 days
Last reported
29 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.01 (expected −$0.01)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Analysts have cut their 2026 earnings estimate by 10.2% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.

Fiscal 20265 analysts
Earnings per share
−$0.04−10.2%
Revenue
$1.82B−2.5%
Fiscal 20276 analysts
Earnings per share
$0.24−2.4%
Revenue
$1.98B−1.9%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

What happened at Metsä Board

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

461 rated companies in Basic Materials

Rank 414 of 461
414/ 461
This company
35
Sector median
57

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 461 companies12 (median 49)37 below the median
GrowthMedian of 461 companies9 (median 54)45 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 461 companies52 (median 65)13 below the median
ValuationMedian of 421 companies with a value19 (median 69)50 below the median
StabilityMedian of 461 companies58 (median 67)9 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 461 companies32 (median 52)20 below the median
Technical analysisMedian of 461 companies58 (median 51)7 above the median
MomentumMedian of 461 companies49 (median 50)1 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Paper and Forest Products

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 23 Paper and Forest Products stocks

ETFs that hold Metsä Board

Held by 7 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

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Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Currency
Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = €0.9024)
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Jun 2024)
  • Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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