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Penske Automotive Group stock

PAGNYSE

Penske Automotive Group, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US70959W1036

$213.25▼ $0.98 (−0.5%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

66Score 66 out of 100, Neutral

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

87 / 100

Price history

+33% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.

Trend change

Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).

Distance to the high

The price is 4.6% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 80% (February 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$209.65
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$185.02
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)57
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDabove the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$140.60
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$223.44
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$14B
Div. yield
2.64%
12 months
14.8
15.2
on earnings for the next twelve months ($14.03 per share)
Fair value
$265.56

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Penske Automotive Group, Inc. belongs to the Auto (Dealerships) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $14B, is number 2 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $31.81B (down 0.2% year on year) and earnings of $935.4M (down 3.5%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $32.67B (up 2.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $13.35 (up 0.3%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 66 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 233 of 596 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 14.8 (Auto (Dealerships) median 14.9, own median of recent years 9.2).
  • Our model puts fair value at $265.56, with the price 20% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Share buybacksShare count down 18% since 2020.Capital allocation 75
  • Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 15 years.Capital allocation 75
  • Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 71

Weaknesses

None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.

66/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Neutral

Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while profitability holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.

Profit consistency100% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)56%
ROIC (12 months)6.7%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • price near its 52-week high

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$213.25
Fair value
$265.56
Gap to fair value
−20%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $204.28 and expensive above $379.38 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $316.94 (cash-flow model) and $214.19 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $238.04, at 7.8% it would be $306.93.

Valuation metrics

2.93
13.2
Fair value (model)
$265.56
Earnings part $214.19 (earnings per share $14.37 × 14.9)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.9).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 7.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 6% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 16%, operating 4%, net 3%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.51
5.8x
0.98
Cash & equivalents
$68.3M

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
10 Feb 2027in 89 days
Last reported
28 Oct 2026EPS reported $3.43 (expected $3.37)in line with expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 20264 analysts
Earnings per share
$13.350.0%
Revenue
$32.67B−0.1%
Fiscal 20277 analysts
Earnings per share
$14.13+0.6%
Revenue
$33.48B−0.2%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. One insider sold, $238,111 in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Smith Greg CSale

    18 May 2026, Board

    Shares
    1,488
    Price
    $160.02
    Value
    $238,111

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Penske Automotive Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

596 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 233 of 596
233/ 596
This company
66
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 596 companies42 (median 53)11 below the median
GrowthMedian of 596 companies55 (median 60)5 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 596 companies71 (median 73)2 below the median
ValuationMedian of 575 companies with a value67 (median 73)6 below the median
StabilityMedian of 596 companies56 (median 62)6 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 596 companies75 (median 59)16 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 596 companies87 (median 62)25 above the median
MomentumMedian of 596 companies88 (median 60)28 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Auto (Dealerships)

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 19 Auto (Dealerships) stocks

ETFs that hold Penske Automotive Group

Held by 16 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Jul 2025)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 8 Nov 2026, previously Undervalued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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