Lithia Motors stock
LADNYSELithia Motors, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US5367971034
56Score 56 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
66 / 100
Price history
−0.9% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 3.0% below it.
Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 51).
The price is 30% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 95% (February 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$311.27
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$306.47
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)51
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$243.00
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$427.48
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Lithia Motors, Inc. belongs to the Auto (Dealerships) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $6.42B, is number 6 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $37.63B (up 4% year on year) and earnings of $819.6M (up 2.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $38.39B (up 2%) and adjusted earnings per share of $35.94 (up 5.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 56 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 386 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 8.3 (Auto (Dealerships) median 14.9, own median of recent years 10.9).
- Our model puts fair value at $320.80, with the price 3% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Modestly valuedP/E 8.3, Auto (Dealerships) median 14.9, own median 10.9.Valuation 76
- Reliable dividendNo dividend cut for 16 years.Capital allocation 64
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 52
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$426.7M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 52
- Margin fallingOperating margin 3.8%, average of the prior years 5.5% (to 2024).Profitability 31
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.4 times.Stability 35
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while stability and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 55 to 56.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- weak fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $229.14 and expensive above $534.66 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $109.06 (cash-flow model) and $532.53 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.8%. At 13.8% the fair value would be $314.78, at 11.8% it would be $328.35.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (14.9).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 1.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 15% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 15%, operating 4%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 90 days
- Last reported
- 21 Oct 2026EPS reported $10.34 (expected $9.70)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 3.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $35.94+0.2%
- Revenue
- $38.39B+0.3%
- Earnings per share
- $40.26−3.3%
- Revenue
- $39.57B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 4 insiders sold, $304,707 in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Lithia Motors
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 56
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Dealerships)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Penske Automotive GroupPAG $14.07B66
- D'Ieteren GroupDIE.BR $10.3B71
- Hotai Motor2207.TW $8.77B56
- CarMaxKMX $7.65B50
- AutoNationAN $5.99B57
- Rush EnterprisesRUSHA $5.27B57
- USS4732.T $5.23B81
- ValvolineVVV $4.58B63
ETFs that hold Lithia Motors
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.49% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.32% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.21% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
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| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.17% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.11% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.08% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.06% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.03% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 22 May 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.