CarMax stock
KMXNYSECarMax, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US1431301027
50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
72 / 100
Price history
+58% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 8.6% above it.
Since June 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 52).
The price is 16% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 80% (November 2021 to November 2025).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$55.71
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$49.64
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)52
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$32.11
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$64.22
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- CarMax, Inc. belongs to the Auto (Dealerships) industry (United States) and, with a market value of $7.65B, is number 5 of 19 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $25.88B (down 1.8% year on year) and earnings of $247.29M (down 50.6%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $28.8B (up 11.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.21 (up 11.7%).
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- MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 460 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $25.65, with the price 110% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 392% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 62
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 62
- Share buybacksShare count down 10% since 2021.Capital allocation 54
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 110% above the fair value of $25.65.Valuation 25
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 1.4 times.Stability 36
- Earnings per share fallingDown 18.2% a year since 2021.Growth 46
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis, while valuation and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- stable momentum
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $18.32 and expensive above $42.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 12.7%. At 13.7% the fair value would be $22.85, at 11.7% it would be $29.16.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue rose 4.8% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 7% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 11%, operating −2%, net 1%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 17 Dec 2026in 35 days
- Last reported
- 29 Sep 2026EPS reported $1.16 (expected $0.73)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.21+0.9%
- Revenue
- $28.8B+0.5%
- Earnings per share
- $3.62+1.4%
- Revenue
- $29.71B+1.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −2.5%The full-year decline in retail margin per unit is now expected to be smaller than the previously guided $200.
“In managing margins more dynamically, we lowered GPUs by less than the full year $200 per retail unit outlook we provided previously as we balance demand, margins and efficiency gains in our reconditioning processes to support sales.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q2 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
5 insiders bought on the open market between 22 Jun 2026 and 25 Jun 2026, $1.27M in total.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at CarMax
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 50
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Auto (Dealerships)
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- CarvanaCVNA $81.02B59
- Penske Automotive GroupPAG $14.07B66
- D'Ieteren GroupDIE.BR $10.3B71
- Hotai Motor2207.TW $8.77B56
- Lithia MotorsLAD $6.75B56
- AutoNationAN $5.99B57
- Rush EnterprisesRUSHA $5.27B57
- USS4732.T $5.23B81
ETFs that hold CarMax
Held by 14 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.44% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.42% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| Avantis Global Small Cap Value UCITS ETFAVWS | 0.28% | 0.39% | €1.47B |
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| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.15% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.13% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.09% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.07% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| Invesco RAFI US Fundamental Value UCITS ETF6PSA | 0.06% | 0.39% | €1.23B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 28 Feb 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 10 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.