O'Reilly Automotive stock
ORLYNASDAQO'Reilly Automotive, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US67103H1077
71Score 71 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
58 / 100
Price history
−6.7% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 1.5% above it.
Since January 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 10.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 45% (June 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$87.52
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$90.20
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$82.73
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$101.70
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (United States) and, with a market value of $73.46B, is number 5 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $17.78B (up 6.4% year on year) and earnings of $2.54B (up 6.3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $19.27B (up 8.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $3.32 (up 12%).
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- MEQIRI Score 71 out of 100 (Strong): rank 143 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 27.4 (Specialty Retail median 23, own median of recent years 23.5).
- Our model puts fair value at $76.68, with the price 18% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 38.9% in fiscal 2025, Specialty Retail median 8.1%.Profitability 85
- Share buybacksShare count down 20% since 2020.Capital allocation 91
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 91
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while valuation holds the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $58.98 and expensive above $109.54 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
Valuation metrics
From earnings times the industry P/E (23) alone; there are no viable cash flows for the cash-flow model.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 8.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 11% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 52%, operating 19%, net 14%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Feb 2027in 83 days
- Last reported
- 28 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.97 (expected $0.93)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $3.32+0.8%
- Revenue
- $19.27B+0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $3.67+0.2%
- Revenue
- $20.47B+0.8%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −2.6%O'Reilly raised its full year outlook: comparable sales growth now 5.5% to 6.5% versus 4% to 6% before, EPS guidance raised to $3.25 to $3.35, operating margin raised to 19.5% to 20%, and free cash flow guidance increased to $1.9 billion to $2.2 billion.
“We raised our full year guidance from a range of 4% to 6% to a range of 5.5% to 6.5%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 8 insiders sold, $23.24M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Fletcher Jeremy AdamSale
5 Nov 2026, EVP & CFO
- Shares
- 10,590
- Price
- $93.26
- Value
- $987,623
- Sastre MariaSale
4 Nov 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,200
- Price
- $91.72
- Value
- $110,064
- Henslee Gregory LSale
4 Nov 2026, CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD
- Shares
- 138,705
- Price
- $91.75
- Value
- $12.73M
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- Gray Larry DeanSale
3 Nov 2026, SVP OF INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
- Shares
- 7,750
- Price
- $90.23
- Value
- $699,244
- Hendrickson ThomasSale
28 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $87.83
- Value
- $87,831
- Sastre MariaSale
12 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,000
- Price
- $91.85
- Value
- $183,707
- Mancini Christopher AndrewSale
12 Aug 2026, SVP OF PROF SALES & STORE OPS
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $93.00
- Value
- $279,000
- Hendrickson ThomasSale
29 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 1,200
- Price
- $88.32
- Value
- $105,984
- Dumas Robert AllenSale
20 May 2026, SVP OF EASTERN STORE OPS/SALES
- Shares
- 84,600
- Price
- $92.60
- Value
- $7.83M
- Murphy John RaymondSale
18 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 2,595
- Price
- $88.67
- Value
- $230,099
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at O'Reilly Automotive
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 71
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Specialty Retail
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Amazon.comAMZN $2.88T69
- Alibaba Group HoldingBABA $252.56B47
- PDD HoldingsPDD $112.46B69
- MercadoLibreMELI $76.65B60
- Meituan3690.HK $57.31B40
- eBayEBAY $53.86B76
- Alimentation Couche-TardATD.TO $53.11B69
- AutoZoneAZO $52.11B70
ETFs that hold O'Reilly Automotive
Held by 126 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 1.56% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| iShares S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Sector UCITS ETFQDVK | 1.52% | 0.15% | €719.53M |
| State Street SPDR S&P U.S. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPDD | 1.42% | 0.15% | €123.56M |
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| Amundi US Tech 100 Equal Weight UCITS ETF DR USDWEBA | 1.31% | 0.07% | €340.27M |
| Amundi S&P Global Consumer Discretionary ESG UCITS ETF Accum-DR EURWELJ | 1.24% | 0.18% | €644.77M |
| Xtrackers MSCI World Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1CXDWC | 0.94% | 0.25% | €388.27M |
| iShares MSCI World Consumer Discretionary Sector Advanced UCITS ETF36BB | 0.72% | 0.18% | €33.17M |
| UBS Factor MSCI USA Low Volatility UCITS ETF USD disUBUR | 0.70% | 0.18% | €64.75M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.
