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eBay stock

EBAYNASDAQ

eBay Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US2786421030

$120.14▼ $2.54 (−2.1%)Closing price of 12 Nov 2026

76Score 76 out of 100, Strong

Turn on early warning

Price and trend

81 / 100

Price history

+37% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 14% above it.

Trend change

Since March 2024 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 48).

Distance to the high

The price is 4.0% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 75% (October 2007 to March 2009).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$113.88
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$105.24
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)48
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$79.41
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$125.15
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$53.86B
Div. yield
0.99%
12 months
26.6
18.0
on earnings for the next twelve months ($6.80 per share)
Fair value
$148.07

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • eBay Inc. belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (United States) and, with a market value of $52.74B, is number 7 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $11.1B (up 7.9% year on year) and earnings of $2.03B (up 2.8%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $12.65B (up 14%) and adjusted earnings per share of $6.27 (up 13.7%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 76 out of 100 (Strong): rank 69 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 26 (Specialty Retail median 23, own median of recent years 9.6).
  • Our model puts fair value at $148.07, with the price 17% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • Share buybacksShare count down 36% since 2020.Capital allocation 95
  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 24.8% in fiscal 2025, Specialty Retail median 8.1%.Profitability 90
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 116% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 89

Weaknesses

  • High debtDebt 1.6 times equity (latest quarter), Specialty Retail median 1.02.Stability 51
76/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are capital allocation and profitability.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency80% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)116%
ROIC (12 months)24.1%
Positive free cash flow100% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk low

How well MEQIRI warns

One of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 9 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals
  • price near its 52-week high
  • calm price action

Valuation

Valuation signal

Modestly undervalued
Price
$122.68
Fair value
$148.07
Gap to fair value
−17%

Closing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.

In our model the price counts as cheap below $113.90 and expensive above $211.53 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $190.12 (cash-flow model) and $106.02 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $130.77, at 7.8% it would be $174.14.

Valuation metrics

1.94
19
Fair value (model)
$148.07
Earnings part $106.02 (earnings per share $4.61 × 23)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 15.7% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 3% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 71%, operating 21%, net 18%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.6
10.4x
0.78
Cash & equivalents
$1.98B

Meaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.

Earnings

Next earnings
17 Feb 2027in 97 days
Last reported
28 Oct 2026EPS reported $1.51 (expected $1.41)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202621 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.27+2.1%
Revenue
$12.65B+0.9%
Fiscal 202721 analysts
Earnings per share
$6.88+2.3%
Revenue
$13.58B+1.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: +2.9%

eBay's fourth quarter outlook came in above prior expectations, with organic revenue growth guided at 5% to 7% and operating income growth now expected to be stronger than originally planned after a better than expected first nine months.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We forecast consolidated revenue to be between $3.19 and $3.24 billion in Q4, which represents total FX-neutral growth between 7% to 9% year over year, or organic growth between 5% to 7% with Depop contributing 2 percentage points to total FX-neutral revenue growth.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 28 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 5 insiders sold, $25.41M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Iannone JamieSale

    6 Nov 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $122.31
    Value
    $1.36M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    5 Nov 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $122.98
    Value
    $1.37M
  • Spencer RebeccaSale

    30 Oct 2026, VP, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    2,366
    Price
    $121.86
    Value
    $288,321
Show 17 more
  • Iannone JamieSale

    6 Oct 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $106.32
    Value
    $1.18M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    5 Oct 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $107.08
    Value
    $1.19M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    9 Sept 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $103.99
    Value
    $1.16M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    8 Sept 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $102.35
    Value
    $1.14M
  • Sweetnam Jordan Douglas BradleySale

    18 Aug 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    1,014
    Price
    $101.39
    Value
    $102,809
  • Spencer RebeccaSale

    10 Aug 2026, VP, Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    5,190
    Price
    $107.79
    Value
    $559,431
  • Iannone JamieSale

    6 Aug 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $109.50
    Value
    $1.22M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    5 Aug 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $108.55
    Value
    $1.21M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    7 Jul 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $114.53
    Value
    $1.27M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    6 Jul 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $113.33
    Value
    $1.26M
  • Sweetnam Jordan Douglas BradleySale

    18 Jun 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    863
    Price
    $109.17
    Value
    $94,214
  • Rawashdeh MazenSale

    17 Jun 2026, SVP, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    1,919
    Price
    $108.51
    Value
    $208,231
  • Iannone JamieSale

    5 Jun 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $109.73
    Value
    $1.22M
  • Boone CorneliusSale

    5 Jun 2026, SVP, Chief People Officer

    Shares
    31,100
    Price
    $109.69
    Value
    $3.41M
  • Iannone JamieSale

    4 Jun 2026, President and CEO

    Shares
    11,110
    Price
    $109.59
    Value
    $1.22M
  • Rawashdeh MazenSale

    22 May 2026, SVP, Chief Technology Officer

    Shares
    50,000
    Price
    $117.04
    Value
    $5.85M
  • Sweetnam Jordan Douglas BradleySale

    18 May 2026, SVP, Chief Commercial Officer

    Shares
    1,010
    Price
    $115.61
    Value
    $116,766

Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at eBay

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 69 of 602
69/ 602
This company
76
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies90 (median 53)37 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies52 (median 60)8 below the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies89 (median 73)16 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value60 (median 72)12 below the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies51 (median 62)11 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies95 (median 58)37 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies81 (median 63)18 above the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies81 (median 62)19 above the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Specialty Retail

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 86 Specialty Retail stocks

ETFs that hold eBay

Held by 135 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

ETFWeightCostFund size
Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ2.80%0.25%€44.3M
L&G Ecommerce Logistics UCITS ETFETLH2.22%0.49%€62.57M
iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B792.17%0.40%€726.22M
Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
  • Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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