MercadoLibre stock
MELINASDAQMercadoLibre, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US58733R1023
60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
30 / 100
Price history
−28% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 19 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 16% below it.
Since November 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 27).
The price is 34% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 19 years: 89% (December 2007 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$1,781.42
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$1,791.27
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)27
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$1,490.24
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$2,295.00
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- MercadoLibre, Inc. belongs to the Specialty Retail industry (Uruguay) and, with a market value of $76.65B, is number 4 of 86 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $28.89B (up 39.1% year on year) and earnings of $2B (up 4.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $41.9B (up 45%) and adjusted earnings per share of $38.27 (down 2.9%).
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- MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 324 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 40.6 (Specialty Retail median 23, own median of recent years 51.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $1,683.23, with the price 10% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow above 500% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 81
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 48.7% a year since 2020, Specialty Retail median 11%.Growth 83
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 34.5% a year through 2028 (estimates from 17 analysts).Growth 83
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 1.59 times equity (latest quarter), Specialty Retail median 1.02.Stability 60
Its standout strengths are growth and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 59 to 60.
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $1,202.31 and expensive above $2,805.38 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $2,509.76 (cash-flow model) and $856.70 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 10.4%. At 11.4% the fair value would be $1,554.53, at 9.4% it would be $1,855.37.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (23).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 47.1% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 39% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 45%, operating 11%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterMeaningfully leveraged, but the interest bill is comfortably covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 23 Feb 2027in 103 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $8.83 (expected $9.27)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $38.27−0.1%
- Revenue
- $41.9B+0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $54.93−1.3%
- Revenue
- $54.08B+0.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
2 insiders bought on the open market in the last 6 months, $1.19M in total.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at MercadoLibre
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 60
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Specialty Retail
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Amazon.comAMZN $2.88T69
- Alibaba Group HoldingBABA $252.56B47
- PDD HoldingsPDD $112.46B69
- O'Reilly AutomotiveORLY $72.64B71
- Meituan3690.HK $57.31B40
- eBayEBAY $53.86B76
- Alimentation Couche-TardATD.TO $53.11B69
- AutoZoneAZO $52.11B70
ETFs that hold MercadoLibre
Held by 114 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMQQ Emerging Markets Internet UCITS ETF AccEMQQ | 7.36% | 0.86% | €87.6M |
| iShares MSCI EM Consumer Growth UCITS ETFCEMG | 2.61% | 0.60% | €31.52M |
| iShares Digitalisation UCITS ETF2B79 | 2.41% | 0.40% | €726.22M |
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| Invesco CoinShares Global Blockchain UCITS ETFBNXG | 2.11% | 0.65% | €733.24M |
| L&G Ecommerce Logistics UCITS ETFETLH | 1.99% | 0.49% | €62.57M |
| Xtrackers MSCI USA Consumer Discretionary UCITS ETF 1DXUCD | 1.44% | 0.12% | €150.96M |
| L&G Artificial Intelligence UCITS ETFXMLD | 1.34% | 0.49% | €1.96B |
| Amundi US Tech 100 Equal Weight UCITS ETF DR USDWEBA | 1.16% | 0.07% | €340.27M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Nov 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.