MDA Space stock
MDANYSEMDA Space Ltd, IndustrialsISIN CA55293N1096
50Score 50 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
86 / 100
Price history
+8.0% since 2026The chart shows daily closing prices since 17 Feb 2026, adjusted for stock splits and excluding dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).
The price is 40% below its 52-week high. Largest decline since 17 Feb 2026: 46% (May 2026 to November 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$29.06
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$29.16
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)56
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$23.61
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$48.68
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- MDA Space Ltd belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (Canada) and, with a market value of $4.73B, is number 73 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $1.19B (up 58.5% year on year) and earnings of $79.01M (up 43.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.34B (up 12.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.95 (down 10.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 50 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 792 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $25.72, with the price 13% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 38.7% a year since 2020, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 59
- More cash than debtCash $1.51B, financial debt $671.43M.Stability 66
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 18.4% a year through 2028 (estimates from 8 analysts).Growth 59
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$52.56M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 47
- Volatile share priceVolatility 63% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 66
Its standout strength is technical analysis, while valuation and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 49 to 50.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansValuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $17.15 and expensive above $51.44 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $35.96 (cash-flow model) and $15.48 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $22.57, at 7.8% it would be $30.47.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 33.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2020, at around 39% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 20%, operating 7%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 11 Mar 2027in 118 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.26 (expected $0.20)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.95+1.4%
- Revenue
- $1.34B+1.5%
- Earnings per share
- $1.29+1.0%
- Revenue
- $1.95B+1.1%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −2.5%2026 guidance midpoint raised: revenue of $1.8 to $1.9 billion (from $1.7 to $1.9 billion) and adjusted EBITDA of $330 to $370 million (from $320 to $370 million).
“We now expect adjusted EBITDA in the range of $330 million to $370 million compared to $320 million to $370 million previously.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at MDA Space
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 50
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Karman HoldingsKRMN $5.37B47
- Mercury SystemsMRCY $5.08B38
- FincantieriFCT.MI $5B39
- Planet Labs PBCPL $4.73B37
- OHBOHB.DE $4.43B48
- AARAIR $4.35B61
- Firefly AerospaceFLY $4.35B41
- RENK GroupR3NK.DE $3.64B56
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral since 13 Nov 2026, previously Weak
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.