Karman Holdings stock
KRMNNYSEKarman Holdings Inc., IndustrialsISIN US4859241048
47Score 47 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
54 / 100
Price history
−40% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 2 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 33% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 55).
The price is 65% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 2 years: 74% (January 2026 to October 2026).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$36.01
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$60.71
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)55
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$30.14
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$115.29
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Karman Holdings Inc. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.37B, is number 69 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $471.5M (up 36.6% year on year) and earnings of $17.37M (up 36.7%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $742.25M (up 57.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $0.58 (up 62.4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 47 out of 100 (Weak): rank 842 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $23.39, with the price 73% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Growing faster than its industryRevenue up 27.7% a year since 2022, Aerospace & Defense median 10.6%.Growth 70
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 39.8% a year through 2028 (estimates from 8 analysts).Growth 70
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 2.26 times equity (latest quarter), Aerospace & Defense median 0.52.Stability 35
- Volatile share priceVolatility 87% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 35
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$7.46M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 42
Its standout strength is growth, while momentum and valuation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 46 to 47.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansValuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $15.59 and expensive above $46.78 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $34.87 (cash-flow model) and $11.91 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $20.20, at 7.8% it would be $28.20.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (31.3).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 56.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2022, at around 28% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 40%, operating 15%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 24 Mar 2027in 131 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.19 (expected $0.15)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.58−0.1%
- Revenue
- $742.25M+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $0.96+0.7%
- Revenue
- $953.27M+0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +5.6%2026 guidance raised: revenue of $730 million to $745 million and adjusted EBITDA of $215 million to $222.5 million, with organic growth of at least 25% reaffirmed.
“We now expect full year revenue of $730 million to $745 million and non GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $215 million to $222.5 million 29.7% margin at the midpoint. This represents year over year revenue growth of 57% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 51% to the midpoint.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
3 insiders bought on the open market between 16 Sept 2026 and 16 Sept 2026, $1.04M in total.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Karman Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 47
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- HD Hyundai Marine Solution Co443060.KS $5.75B70
- BETA TechnologiesBETA $5.7B44
- Amentum HoldingsAMTM $5.42B55
- TKMS AG & Co. KGaATKMS.DE $5.37B50
- Mercury SystemsMRCY $5.08B38
- FincantieriFCT.MI $5B39
- Planet Labs PBCPL $4.73B37
- MDA SpaceMDA $4.73B50
ETFs that hold Karman Holdings
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco Defence Innovation UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVDF | 1.80% | 0.35% | €136.55M |
| VanEck Defense UCITS ETFDFEN | 1.13% | 0.55% | €5.8B |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.31% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
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| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.04% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.03% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.10% | €395.74M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.00% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 27 Mar 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.