Mercury Systems stock
MRCYNASDAQMercury Systems, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US5893781089
38Score 38 out of 100, Weak
Price and trend
61 / 100
Price history
+14% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 8.0% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 57).
The price is 34% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 84% (December 2007 to December 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$80.24
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$90.64
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)57
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$65.55
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$126.21
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Mercury Systems, Inc. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $5.08B, is number 70 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $983.62M (up 7.9% year on year) and a loss of $29.67M.
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $1.09B (up 10.5%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.67 (up 57.3%).
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- MEQIRI Score 38 out of 100 (Weak): rank 942 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $64.97, with the price 28% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Analysts expect strong earnings growthUp 29.1% a year through 2028 (estimates from 9 analysts).
Weaknesses
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 0.7 times.Stability 55
- Loss-makingLoss of $4.07M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 36
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $1.13 in 2021 to −$0.50.Growth 29
The score is held back by capital allocation and profitability.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 39 to 38.
Fundamental quality fluctuates.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- weak fundamentals
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $43.31 and expensive above $129.93 (uncertainty very high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $53.48, at 7.8% it would be $82.24.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, revenue rose 8.4% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 25%, operating 2%, net −3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 2 Feb 2027in 81 days
- Last reported
- 10 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.52 (expected $0.30)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.670.0%
- Revenue
- $1.09B+0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $2.220.0%
- Revenue
- $1.21B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −10.7%Targeted organic revenue growth raised to low double digits; targeted adjusted EBITDA margin (low to mid-20s) maintained.
“Looking ahead, aligned with our target profile of achieving above market organic growth and in recognition of the favorable market outlook we are increasing targeted organic revenue growth to low double digits while maintaining targeted adjusted EBITDA margin in the low to mid-20s and targeted free cash flow …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 18 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q4 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 6 insiders sold, $42.86M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Kupinsky StuartSale
21 Oct 2026, EVP, CLO & Corp Secretary
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $76.00
- Value
- $76,000
- Kupinsky StuartSale
21 Sept 2026, EVP, CLO & Corp Secretary
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $86.52
- Value
- $86,520
- Ratner StevenSale
3 Sept 2026, EVP, CHRO
- Shares
- 4,000
- Price
- $84.51
- Value
- $338,030
Show 26 more
- Ballhaus William LSale
26 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 49,090
- Price
- $89.10
- Value
- $4.37M
- Ballhaus William LSale
25 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 111,076
- Price
- $87.12
- Value
- $9.68M
- Ballhaus William LSale
24 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 108,209
- Price
- $89.50
- Value
- $9.68M
- Ratner StevenSale
21 Aug 2026, EVP, CHRO
- Shares
- 356
- Price
- $91.36
- Value
- $32,524
- Kupinsky StuartSale
21 Aug 2026, EVP, CLO & Corp Secretary
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $95.23
- Value
- $95,230
- Ballhaus William LSale
21 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 65,000
- Price
- $92.41
- Value
- $6.01M
- Munro DouglasSale
20 Aug 2026, SVP, CAO
- Shares
- 109
- Price
- $97.67
- Value
- $10,646
- Ratner StevenSale
20 Aug 2026, EVP, CHRO
- Shares
- 1,026
- Price
- $97.67
- Value
- $100,213
- Farnsworth David E.Sale
20 Aug 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 6,612
- Price
- $97.67
- Value
- $645,817
- Ballhaus William LSale
20 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 22,010
- Price
- $97.67
- Value
- $2.15M
- Munro DouglasSale
19 Aug 2026, SVP, CAO
- Shares
- 548
- Price
- $100.31
- Value
- $54,968
- Ratner StevenSale
19 Aug 2026, EVP, CHRO
- Shares
- 2,187
- Price
- $100.31
- Value
- $219,369
- Kupinsky StuartSale
19 Aug 2026, EVP, CLO & Corp Secretary
- Shares
- 1,308
- Price
- $100.31
- Value
- $131,200
- Farnsworth David E.Sale
19 Aug 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 8,155
- Price
- $100.31
- Value
- $817,995
- Ballhaus William LSale
19 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 26,802
- Price
- $100.31
- Value
- $2.69M
- Munro DouglasSale
18 Aug 2026, SVP, CAO
- Shares
- 494
- Price
- $111.36
- Value
- $55,011
- Ratner StevenSale
18 Aug 2026, EVP, CHRO
- Shares
- 1,971
- Price
- $111.36
- Value
- $219,486
- Kupinsky StuartSale
18 Aug 2026, EVP, CLO & Corp Secretary
- Shares
- 1,178
- Price
- $111.36
- Value
- $131,179
- Farnsworth David E.Sale
18 Aug 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 7,347
- Price
- $111.36
- Value
- $818,145
- Ballhaus William LSale
18 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 24,144
- Price
- $111.36
- Value
- $2.69M
- Munro DouglasSale
17 Aug 2026, SVP, CAO
- Shares
- 404
- Price
- $109.95
- Value
- $44,420
- Ratner StevenSale
17 Aug 2026, EVP, CHRO
- Shares
- 1,084
- Price
- $109.95
- Value
- $119,187
- Kupinsky StuartSale
17 Aug 2026, EVP, CLO & Corp Secretary
- Shares
- 1,195
- Price
- $109.95
- Value
- $131,391
- Farnsworth David E.Sale
17 Aug 2026, EVP, CFO
- Shares
- 1,345
- Price
- $109.95
- Value
- $147,884
- Ballhaus William LSale
17 Aug 2026, Chairman, President & CEO
- Shares
- 3,536
- Price
- $109.95
- Value
- $388,786
- Lance Howard LSale
26 May 2026, Board
- Shares
- 9,250
- Price
- $99.76
- Value
- $922,744
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Mercury Systems
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 38
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- BETA TechnologiesBETA $5.7B44
- Amentum HoldingsAMTM $5.42B55
- TKMS AG & Co. KGaATKMS.DE $5.37B50
- Karman HoldingsKRMN $5.37B47
- FincantieriFCT.MI $5B39
- Planet Labs PBCPL $4.73B37
- MDA SpaceMDA $4.73B50
- OHBOHB.DE $4.43B48
ETFs that hold Mercury Systems
Held by 15 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Invesco Defence Innovation UCITS ETF AccumUSDIVDF | 1.12% | 0.35% | €136.55M |
| VanEck Defense UCITS ETFDFEN | 0.76% | 0.55% | €5.8B |
| Defiance Drone UCITS ETF USDDRON | 0.56% | 0.69% | €32.6M |
Show 5 more
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.28% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.15% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.15% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.14% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.08% | 0.43% | €2.5B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 3 Jul 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Weak, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2021)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.