AAR stock
AIRNYSEAAR Corp., IndustrialsISIN US0003611052
63Score 63 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
59 / 100
Price history
+29% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 8.8% below it.
Since October 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 64).
The price is 30% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 82% (December 2019 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$108.75
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$118.71
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)64
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$77.35
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$153.71
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- AAR Corp. belongs to the Aerospace & Defense industry (United States) and, with a market value of $4.35B, is number 75 of 114 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $3.31B (up 19% year on year) and earnings of $187.7M (up 1,401.6%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $3.7B (up 11.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $5.86 (up 16.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 63 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 444 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 22.3 (Aerospace & Defense median 32.1, own median of recent years 35.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $124.34, with the price 8% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 22.2% a year since 2022.Growth 81
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 68
- Modestly valuedP/E 22.3, Aerospace & Defense median 32.1, own median 35.2.Valuation 62
Weaknesses
- Volatile share priceVolatility 46% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 67
Its standout strengths are momentum and growth, while profitability and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- high growth grade (crashed more often in the backtest)
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $88.82 and expensive above $207.24 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $93.34 (cash-flow model) and $155.35 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $115.68, at 7.8% it would be $137.39.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (32.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 31 Aug 2026, revenue rose 22% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 6% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 19%, operating 8%, net 6%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterModerate debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 5 Jan 2027in 54 days
- Last reported
- 28 Sep 2026EPS reported $1.49 (expected $1.30)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $5.860.0%
- Revenue
- $3.7B0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $6.790.0%
- Revenue
- $3.97B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: −11.8%Fiscal 2027 sales outlook raised: growth excluding legacy programs now in the low teens, with Q2 growth of 14% to 16% expected.
“For the second quarter, we expect total sales growth, excluding Legacy Commercial Programs, of 14% to 16% and adjusted EBITDA margin, also excluding LCP, of 13.0% to 13.4%.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 29 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q1 2027), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $4.29M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at AAR
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 63
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Aerospace & Defense
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- FincantieriFCT.MI $5.1B40
- MDA SpaceMDA $5.02B49
- OHBOHB.DE $4.89B48
- Planet Labs PBCPL $4.88B36
- Firefly AerospaceFLY $4.45B41
- RENK GroupR3NK.DE $3.8B56
- Archer AviationACHR $3.74B35
- LisiFII.PA $3.44B65
ETFs that hold AAR
Held by 12 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.25% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.17% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.16% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.15% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.05% | 0.45% | €1.53B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.04% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI All Country World Investable Market UCITS ETF (Acc)SPYI | 0.04% | 0.17% | €8.6B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 31 May 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 28 Nov 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.