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Expedia Group stock

EXPENASDAQ

Expedia Group, Inc., Consumer CyclicalISIN US30212P3038

$259.79▲ $6.02 (+2.4%)Closing price of 11 Nov 2026

72Score 72 out of 100, Strong

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Price and trend

56 / 100

Price history

−2.1% in one year

The chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.

Long-term trend

Above the 200-day line: the price is 0.3% above it.

Trend change

Since July 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.

Momentum

Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 38).

Distance to the high

The price is 23% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 83% (October 2007 to November 2008).

Chart figures for advanced users
SMA 50$278.24
Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
SMA 200$259.03
Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
RSI (14)38
Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
MACDbelow the signal line
Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
Support$188.51
The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
Resistance$339.13
The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Market cap
$29.74B
Div. yield
0.71%
12 months
15.1
10.6
on earnings for the next twelve months ($24.43 per share)
Fair value
$450.73

Snapshot

Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI

  • Expedia Group, Inc. belongs to the Travel Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $29.74B, is number 6 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
  • In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $14.73B (up 7.6% year on year) and earnings of $1.29B (up 4.9%).
  • For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $16.3B (up 10.7%) and adjusted earnings per share of $21.35 (up 33.5%).
Show more
  • MEQIRI Score 72 out of 100 (Strong): rank 121 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
  • The P/E is 15.1 (Travel Services median 16.7, own median of recent years 33.5).
  • Our model puts fair value at $450.73, with the price 42% below it.

In plain words

The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI

Strengths

  • High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 45.2% in fiscal 2025, Travel Services median 10.8%.Profitability 82
  • Below fair valuePrice 42% below the fair value of $450.73.Valuation 86
  • Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 178% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 93

Weaknesses

  • Volatile share priceVolatility 51% a year over the last 12 months.Stability 40
72/ 100
MEQIRI Score
Strong

Its standout strengths are fundamentals and capital allocation, while stability holds the score back.

Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026

How the score is calculated

Score overview

Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.

Profit consistency90% of years
Cash conversion (free cash flow to earnings, 12 months)178%
ROIC (12 months)26.6%
Positive free cash flow90% of years
How this category is measured

Score history

The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.

See plans

Crash risk medium

How well MEQIRI warns

In the middle among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.

From 2016 to 2025, 13 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.

What lowers it

  • solid fundamentals

Valuation

Valuation signal

Significantly undervalued
Price
$259.79
Fair value
$450.73
Gap to fair value
−42%

In our model the price counts as cheap below $321.95 and expensive above $751.22 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).

The two parts of the fair value come to $613.54 (cash-flow model) and $287.93 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.

Calculated with a cost of equity of 9.4%. At 10.4% the fair value would be $403.72, at 8.4% it would be $518.17.

Valuation metrics

1.23
7.8
Fair value (model)
$450.73
Earnings part $287.93 (earnings per share $17.23 × 16.7)

Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.7).

Calculate with your own assumptions

Company performance

This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.

Revenue

20 years

In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 12.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 10% per year.

Margins

20 years
  • Gross margin
  • Operating margin
  • Net margin

In fiscal 2025: gross 90%, operating 13%, net 9%.

Debt & balance sheet

latest quarter
1.95
7.2x
0.77
Cash & equivalents
$5.57B

Debt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.

Earnings

Next earnings
11 Feb 2027in 91 days
Last reported
4 Nov 2026EPS reported $9.39 (expected $8.85)above expectations

Analyst estimates

Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.

Fiscal 202623 analysts
Earnings per share
$21.35+1.6%
Revenue
$16.3B+0.5%
Fiscal 202726 analysts
Earnings per share
$24.91+0.9%
Revenue
$17.41B+0.3%

MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.

Company outlook raised

Share price after the results: −1.8%

Guidance raised: gross bookings $129.5 billion to $130.8 billion, revenue $16.05 billion to $16.22 billion, adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 150 to 175 basis points.

Supporting passage from the call, verbatim
“We now expect gross bookings of $129.5 billion-$130.8 billion, representing growth of 8%-9%, and revenue of $16.05 billion-$16.22 billion, representing growth of 9%-10%. Our guidance continues to assume foreign exchange tailwinds of approximately a point for gross bookings and two points for revenue.”

The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.

From the earnings call on 5 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.

Insiders

Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders

All insider purchases

No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 3 insiders sold, $5.19M in total.

Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.

  • Dzielak Robert JSale

    24 Aug 2026, Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y

    Shares
    1,004
    Price
    $335.00
    Value
    $336,340
  • Soliday Lance ASale

    18 Aug 2026, SVP & Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    2,810
    Price
    $323.65
    Value
    $909,456
  • Dzielak Robert JSale

    17 Aug 2026, Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y

    Shares
    2,000
    Price
    $330.50
    Value
    $661,000
Show 4 more
  • Jacobson Craig ASale

    13 Aug 2026, Board

    Shares
    3,133
    Price
    $328.52
    Value
    $1.03M
  • Dzielak Robert JSale

    11 Aug 2026, Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y

    Shares
    3,003
    Price
    $315.00
    Value
    $945,945
  • Dzielak Robert JSale

    5 Jun 2026, Chief Legal Officer & Sec'y

    Shares
    4,702
    Price
    $233.00
    Value
    $1.1M
  • Soliday Lance ASale

    26 May 2026, SVP & Chief Accounting Officer

    Shares
    940
    Price
    $221.86
    Value
    $208,547

Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.

What happened at Expedia Group

The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.

Sector comparison

602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical

Rank 121 of 602
121/ 602
This company
72
Sector median
61

Categories against the sector median

ProfitabilityMedian of 602 companies82 (median 53)29 above the median
GrowthMedian of 602 companies70 (median 60)10 above the median
FundamentalsMedian of 602 companies93 (median 73)20 above the median
ValuationMedian of 580 companies with a value86 (median 72)14 above the median
StabilityMedian of 602 companies40 (median 62)22 below the median
Capital allocationMedian of 602 companies87 (median 58)29 above the median
Technical analysisMedian of 602 companies56 (median 63)7 below the median
MomentumMedian of 602 companies57 (median 62)5 below the median

The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.

Competitors in Travel Services

The next larger and next smaller companies by market value

All 20 Travel Services stocks

ETFs that hold Expedia Group

Held by 118 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.

Show 5 more

Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).

Data status and sources

Score
Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
Price
Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
Latest annual report
Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
Source
Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.

Mandatory disclosures for this rating

  • ; time horizon around 12 months
  • Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 12 Jun 2026)
  • Valuation signal Undervalued since 11 Nov 2026, previously Fairly valued
  • End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
  • Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
  • Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
  • Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.

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