Trip.com Group stock
TCOMNASDAQTrip.com Group Limited, Consumer CyclicalISIN US89677Q1076
58Score 58 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
55 / 100
Price history
−42% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 8.1% below it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Overheated: the price has risen very quickly lately (RSI 70).
The price is 45% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 76% (May 2008 to November 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$40.14
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$47.02
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)70
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$37.96
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$78.96
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Trip.com Group Limited belongs to the Travel Services industry (Singapore) and, with a market value of $28.48B, is number 7 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- This is an American depositary receipt (ADR).
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $9.1B (up 13.9% year on year) and earnings of $4.86B (up 89.8%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 58 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 360 of 602 in Consumer Cyclical, median 61.
- The P/E is 7.6 (Travel Services median 16.7, own median of recent years 19.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $83.25, with the price 48% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 37% over the last 12 months, Travel Services median 6.2%.Profitability 66
- Modestly valuedP/E 7.6, Travel Services median 16.7, own median 19.2.Valuation 83
- Below fair valuePrice 48% below the fair value of $83.25.Valuation 83
Weaknesses
- Margin may fall backOperating margin 25.3%, average of the prior years 0.4%, which ranged from −7.8% to 26.6%. After peaks like this, the margin was more than a quarter lower two years later in 44 of 100 cases, against 24 of 100 for other companies with high margins.Profitability 66
- Share price fell sharplyDown 42% over the last 12 months.Momentum 36
Its standout strengths are valuation and stability, while momentum and capital allocation hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among stocks ranked 101 to 1,000.
From 2016 to 2025, 23 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 15 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
What lowers it
- price not overheated over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $64.04 and expensive above $118.92 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $70.87 (cash-flow model) and $95.62 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.6%. At 8.6% the fair value would be $77.95, at 6.6% it would be $91.01.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (16.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 14% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown strongly since 2006, at around 25% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 81%, operating 25%, net 53%. Last 12 months: net 37%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 16 Nov 2026in 4 days
- Last reported
- 15 Sep 2026above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- 23.86+0.8%
- Revenue
- $10.04B+0.2%
- Earnings per share
- 27.09+0.9%
- Revenue
- $10.92B+0.2%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: +3.5%Some volatility in the domestic business is expected near term as partners transition, with long term growth expected to continue, and no guidance figures were given.
“In the near term, on our business operations side, as partners transition to the new upgrading model and market practices adjust, we expect some volatilities on our domestic performance However, over the longer-term period, we expect our growth trajectory to be driven by the underlying strength of our business and …”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 15 Sep 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Trip.com Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
602 rated companies in Consumer Cyclical
- This company
- 58
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Travel Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- Royal Caribbean CruisesRCL $89.65B65
- CarnivalCCL $41.25B63
- Viking HoldingsVIK $40.22B66
- Expedia GroupEXPE $29.74B72
- Hanjin Kal180640.KS $10.19B43
- Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLH $8.64B53
- MakeMyTripMMYT $4.97B54
- Travel + LeisureTNL $4.82B71
ETFs that hold Trip.com Group
Held by 2 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Dow Jones China Offshore 50 UCITS ETF (DE)EXXU | 1.86% | 0.62% | €40.6M |
| Invesco NASDAQ Next Generation 100 UCITS ETF AccEQQJ | 0.61% | 0.25% | €44.3M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 11 Nov 2026 ($1 = CN¥6.6707)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 16 Jan 2026)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.