CoreCivic stock
CXWNYSECoreCivic, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US21871N1019
68Score 68 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
78 / 100
Price history
+84% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 20% above it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 56).
The price is 11% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 86% (March 2015 to October 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$32.18
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$26.23
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)56
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$16.13
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$35.54
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- CoreCivic, Inc. belongs to the Security & Protection Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $2.72B, is number 14 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $2.21B (up 12.7% year on year) and earnings of $116.5M (up 69.2%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $2.7B (up 22%) and adjusted earnings per share of $16.32 (up 1,411.3%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 68 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 271 of 1018 in Industrials, median 61.
- Our model puts fair value at $22.04, with the price 43% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High marginNet margin 54.6% over the last 12 months, Security & Protection Services median 5.2%.Profitability 75
- Earnings per share growingUp 18.8% a year since 2020.Growth 58
- Share buybacksShare count down 10% since 2020.Capital allocation 67
Weaknesses
- Negative free cash flowFree cash flow −$397.73M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 62
Its standout strengths are momentum and technical analysis.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 69 to 68.
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Modestly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $15.75 and expensive above $36.74 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $18.38, at 7.8% it would be $27.55.
Valuation metrics
From the cash-flow model alone; the profit includes one-off items, so there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 26.9% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 23%, operating 16%, net 5%. Last 12 months: net 55%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterLow debt, and interest is adequately covered.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Feb 2027in 89 days
- Last reported
- 4 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.49 (expected $15.14)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $16.32−0.9%
- Revenue
- $2.7B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $2.40+2.0%
- Revenue
- $2.91B−0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +3.3%2026 adjusted EPS guidance raised to $1.62 to $1.70, up from $1.53 to $1.63.
“Because of the significant gain on sale, we expect to generate diluted EPS of $15.15 to $15.20 and adjusted diluted EPS which excludes special items of $1.62 to $1.70, up from $1.53 to $1.63 in our previous guidance.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 6 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 10 insiders sold, $17.25M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Carter, Cole G.Sale
1 Oct 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 12,500
- Price
- $32.02
- Value
- $400,250
- Swenson DarenSale
11 Sept 2026, EVP, Chief Corr & Reentry Ofcr
- Shares
- 20,000
- Price
- $34.85
- Value
- $697,000
- Carter, Cole G.Sale
1 Sept 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 12,500
- Price
- $32.44
- Value
- $405,500
Show 21 more
- Prann John R JrSale
26 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,098
- Price
- $34.00
- Value
- $105,332
- Grande Anthony LSale
26 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Development Officer
- Shares
- 12,564
- Price
- $33.85
- Value
- $425,291
- Emkes Mark ASale
24 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $34.25
- Value
- $1.03M
- Grande Anthony LSale
24 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Development Officer
- Shares
- 7,436
- Price
- $34.25
- Value
- $254,683
- Garfinkle DavidSale
21 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $33.96
- Value
- $1.7M
- Prann John R JrSale
21 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 22,298
- Price
- $34.00
- Value
- $758,132
- Prann John R JrSale
17 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 40,000
- Price
- $33.54
- Value
- $1.34M
- Garfinkle DavidSale
17 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 50,000
- Price
- $33.76
- Value
- $1.69M
- Grande Anthony LSale
17 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Development Officer
- Shares
- 29,199
- Price
- $33.61
- Value
- $981,448
- Prann John R JrSale
14 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 30,000
- Price
- $32.21
- Value
- $966,300
- Lappin Harley G.Sale
14 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 3,000
- Price
- $32.69
- Value
- $98,070
- Marshall Thurgood JrSale
13 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 7,100
- Price
- $34.00
- Value
- $241,400
- Grande Anthony LSale
13 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Development Officer
- Shares
- 801
- Price
- $34.00
- Value
- $27,234
- Lappin Harley G.Sale
13 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 22,032
- Price
- $33.02
- Value
- $727,497
- Garfinkle DavidSale
13 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 491
- Price
- $34.03
- Value
- $16,709
- Garfinkle DavidSale
12 Aug 2026, EVP & Chief Financial Officer
- Shares
- 3,170
- Price
- $34.27
- Value
- $108,636
- Murphy Devin IgnatiusSale
12 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 8,098
- Price
- $33.79
- Value
- $273,631
- Mayberry LucibethSale
12 Aug 2026, EVP, Chief Innovation Officer
- Shares
- 120,000
- Price
- $33.29
- Value
- $3.99M
- Carter, Cole G.Sale
3 Aug 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 12,500
- Price
- $29.74
- Value
- $371,750
- Carter, Cole G.Sale
1 Jul 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 12,500
- Price
- $30.46
- Value
- $380,750
- Carter, Cole G.Sale
1 Jun 2026, Chief Administrative Officer
- Shares
- 12,500
- Price
- $21.00
- Value
- $262,500
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at CoreCivic
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1018 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 68
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Security & Protection Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- GEO GroupGEO $4.24B64
- BradyBRC $3.87B72
- LoomisLOOMIS.ST $3.53B74
- dormakaba HoldingDOKA.SW $3.45B68
- Prosegur Compañía de SeguridadPSG.MC $1.83B63
- Napco Security TechnologiesNSSC $1.09B70
- Evolv Technologies HoldingsEVLV $754.56M31
- Mistras GroupMG $643.4M53
ETFs that hold CoreCivic
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €2.31B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.10% | 0.30% | €4.28B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.10% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
Show 5 more
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.10% | 0.30% | €2.22B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.07% | 0.30% | €964.08M |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.04% | 0.39% | €190.04M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRS | 0.03% | 0.45% | €1.54B |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €178.55M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 20 Feb 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.