Napco Security Technologies stock
NSSCNASDAQNapco Security Technologies, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US6304021057
70Score 70 out of 100, Strong
Price and trend
25 / 100
Price history
−28% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 22% below it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 19).
The price is 36% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 88% (July 2007 to March 2009).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$35.59
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$38.80
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)19
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$29.99
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$47.23
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Napco Security Technologies, Inc. belongs to the Security & Protection Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $1.09B, is number 16 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2026 it reported revenue of $202.32M (up 11.4% year on year) and earnings of $43.03M (down 0.9%).
- For fiscal 2027, analysts expect on average revenue of $215.01M (up 6.3%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.55 (down 4%).
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- MEQIRI Score 70 out of 100 (Strong): rank 210 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
- The P/E is 24.8 (Security & Protection Services median 24.1, own median of recent years 37.2).
- Our model puts fair value at $30.20, with the price 1% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- High return on capitalReturn on invested capital 59.1% in fiscal 2026, Security & Protection Services median 9.1%.Profitability 92
- More cash than debtCash $134.62M, financial debt $5.14M.Stability 86
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2017 to 2026.Fundamentals 98
Weaknesses
None of our weakness checks flags anything. Crash risk is measured separately.
Its standout strengths are fundamentals and profitability, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk high
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the highest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 36 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- high price swings
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $21.57 and expensive above $50.33 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $30.98 (cash-flow model) and $29.41 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $27.58, at 7.8% it would be $34.11.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 8.7% on the twelve months before. Up to 2021 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 12.1% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2026: gross 59%, operating 23%, net 21%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 1 Feb 2027in 81 days
- Last reported
- 2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.34 (expected $0.38)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 5.7% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.55−5.7%
- Revenue
- $215.01M−1.9%
- Earnings per share
- $1.75−4.4%
- Revenue
- $232.3M−2.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $18.26M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
- Soloway RichardSale
27 Aug 2026, Founder and Executive Chairman
- Shares
- 379,529
- Price
- $34.50
- Value
- $13.09M
- Soloway Donna AnneSale
27 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 20,962
- Price
- $34.62
- Value
- $725,704
- Soloway RichardSale
26 Aug 2026, Founder and Executive Chairman
- Shares
- 95,471
- Price
- $35.93
- Value
- $3.43M
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- Soloway Donna AnneSale
26 Aug 2026, Board
- Shares
- 28,000
- Price
- $35.98
- Value
- $1.01M
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Napco Security Technologies
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 70
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Security & Protection Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- LoomisLOOMIS.ST $3.54B74
- dormakaba HoldingDOKA.SW $3.46B68
- CoreCivicCXW $2.82B69
- Prosegur Compañía de SeguridadPSG.MC $1.84B63
- Evolv Technologies HoldingsEVLV $811.22M33
- Mistras GroupMG $643.08M53
- CompX InternationalCIX $536.52M81
- NLI HoldingsNL $358.92M55
ETFs that hold Napco Security Technologies
Held by 13 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| iShares Digital Security UCITS ETFIS4S | 0.22% | 0.40% | €1.9B |
| L&G Russell 2000 US Small Cap Quality UCITS ETFETLZ | 0.09% | 0.30% | €185.82M |
| iShares S&P SmallCap 600 UCITS ETFIUS3 | 0.06% | 0.30% | €2.28B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.04% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.04% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.01% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.01% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.01% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2026, period end 30 Jun 2026
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Strong, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Nov 2023)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.