NLI Holdings stock
NLNYSENLI Holdings, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US6291564077
55Score 55 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
85 / 100
Price history
+28% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.
Since May 2026 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 62).
The price is 15% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 90% (June 2011 to January 2016).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$6.93
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$6.33
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)62
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$5.22
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$8.52
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- NLI Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Security & Protection Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $355M, is number 20 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $158.29M (up 8.5% year on year) and a loss of $37.83M.
- MEQIRI Score 55 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 702 of 1025 in Industrials, median 61.
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- Our model puts fair value at $11.84, with the price 38% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- More cash than debtCash $106.99M, financial debt $1.41M.Stability 59
- High dividend yieldDividend yield 5.31%, Security & Protection Services median 1.81%.Capital allocation 55
Weaknesses
- Dividend not coveredDividend paid despite a loss over the last 12 months; payouts were 296% of free cash flow.Capital allocation 55
- Loss-makingLoss of $4.94M over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 55
- Turned to a lossEarnings per share from $0.30 in 2020 to −$0.77.Growth 27
Its standout strengths are valuation and momentum, while growth and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
The fundamentals are in the middle range.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk low
How well MEQIRI warnsOne of the 30% with the lowest crash risk among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 14 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- price near its 52-week high
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Possible value trapClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $8.46 and expensive above $19.73 (uncertainty high, based on the price swings of the past year).
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $9.86, at 7.8% it would be $14.80.
Possible value trap: looks cheap, but weak growth.
Valuation metrics
From the dividend model alone; without earnings there is no industry value.
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.3% on the twelve months before. Revenue has stayed largely stable since 2006.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 30%, operating 6%, net −24%. Last 12 months: net −3%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is low, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 10 Mar 2027in 117 days
- Last reported
- 5 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.26 (expected $0.21)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $0.870.0%
- Revenue
- $163.85M0.0%
- Earnings per share
- $0.870.0%
- Revenue
- $169.61M0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at NLI Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1025 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 55
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Security & Protection Services
The next larger companies by market value
- LoomisLOOMIS.ST $3.54B74
- dormakaba HoldingDOKA.SW $3.46B68
- CoreCivicCXW $2.82B69
- Prosegur Compañía de SeguridadPSG.MC $1.84B63
- Napco Security TechnologiesNSSC $1.1B70
- Evolv Technologies HoldingsEVLV $811.22M33
- Mistras GroupMG $643.08M53
- CompX InternationalCIX $536.52M81
ETFs that hold NLI Holdings
Held by 5 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| WisdomTree US High Dividend UCITS ETF AccWTD9 | 0.02% | 0.29% | €182.46M |
| WisdomTree US Equity Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged AccWTDY | 0.02% | 0.35% | €204.34M |
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.00% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
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| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.00% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 18 Oct 2026)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.