Mistras Group stock
MGNYSEMistras Group, Inc., IndustrialsISIN US60649T1079
53Score 53 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
57 / 100
Price history
+55% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 17 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Above the 200-day line: the price is 15% above it.
Since September 2025 the 50-day line has been above the 200-day line; the trend has turned up.
Sharply down: the price has fallen very quickly lately (RSI 15).
The price is 6.6% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 17 years: 89% (July 2012 to March 2020).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$20.52
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$17.59
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)15
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$11.17
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$21.60
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Mistras Group, Inc. belongs to the Security & Protection Services industry (United States) and, with a market value of $643.08M, is number 18 of 20 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $724.02M (down 0.8% year on year) and earnings of $16.84M (down 11.2%).
- MEQIRI Score 53 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 746 of 1023 in Industrials, median 61.
Show more
- The P/E is 32 (Security & Protection Services median 24.1, own median of recent years 51.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $10.01, with the price 102% above it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 155% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 74
Weaknesses
- Above fair valuePrice 102% above the fair value of $10.01.Valuation 43
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.5 times.Stability 55
Its standout strengths are momentum and fundamentals, while growth and profitability hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Fundamentals are strong, with strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price up very strongly over the past year
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly overvaluedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $7.15 and expensive above $16.69 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $4.87 (cash-flow model) and $15.15 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is above both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $9.61, at 7.8% it would be $10.61.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (24.1).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue rose 4.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2007, at about 10% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 27%, operating 7%, net 2%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is moderate, but interest coverage is weak. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 3 Mar 2027in 111 days
- Last reported
- 2 Nov 2026EPS reported $0.35 (expected $0.37)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $1.020.0%
- Revenue
- $748.99M+0.2%
- Earnings per share
- $1.250.0%
- Revenue
- $787.73M+0.3%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook raised
Share price after the results: +10.5%2026 guidance raised: revenue of $740 million to $755 million and adjusted EBITDA of $92 million to $95 million.
“Therefore, we're increasing our full year guidance ranges up to $740 million to $755 million in revenue and up to $92 million to $95 million in adjusted EBITDA.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 11 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q2 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases or sales in the last 6 months.
- Foglia Stephanie AthenaSale
17 Apr 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $18.00
- Value
- $18,000
- Foglia Stephanie AthenaSale
3 Mar 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $15.50
- Value
- $15,500
- Foglia Stephanie AthenaSale
3 Feb 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $14.60
- Value
- $14,600
Show 1 more
- Foglia Stephanie AthenaSale
5 Jan 2026, Major holder
- Shares
- 1,000
- Price
- $13.60
- Value
- $13,600
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Mistras Group
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
1023 rated companies in Industrials
- This company
- 53
- Sector median
- 61
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Security & Protection Services
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- LoomisLOOMIS.ST $3.54B74
- dormakaba HoldingDOKA.SW $3.46B68
- CoreCivicCXW $2.82B69
- Prosegur Compañía de SeguridadPSG.MC $1.84B63
- Napco Security TechnologiesNSSC $1.1B70
- Evolv Technologies HoldingsEVLV $811.22M33
- CompX InternationalCIX $536.52M81
- NLI HoldingsNL $358.92M55
ETFs that hold Mistras Group
Held by 2 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xtrackers Russell 2000 UCITS ETF 1CXRS2 | 0.01% | 0.30% | €2.17B |
| State Street SPDR Russell 2000 U.S. Small Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)ZPRR | 0.01% | 0.30% | €4.22B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 11 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Nov 2025)
- Valuation signal Overvalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.