AAK AB (publ.) stock
AAK.STSTOConsumer DefensiveISIN SE0011337708
62Score 62 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
38 / 100
Price history
−35% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 20 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 20% below it.
Since February 2026 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 41).
The price is 35% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 20 years: 66% (January 2007 to October 2008).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$18.78
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$22.27
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)41
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDabove the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$17.50
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$27.45
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- AAK AB (publ.) belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (Sweden) and, with a market value of $4.6B, is number 43 of 76 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $4.61B (up 2.2% year on year) and earnings of $343.83M (down 3%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $4.68B (up 1.4%) and adjusted earnings per share of $1.34 (up 2.7%).
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- MEQIRI Score 62 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 148 of 296 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 13 (Packaged Foods median 18.5, own median of recent years 25.1).
- Our model puts fair value at $17.79, with the price 0% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Consistently profitableProfit in all 10 fiscal years from 2016 to 2025.Fundamentals 76
- Modestly valuedP/E 13, Packaged Foods median 18.5, own median 25.1.Valuation 61
- Earnings per share growingUp 16.4% a year since 2020.Growth 76
Weaknesses
- Share price fell sharplyDown 33% over the last 12 months.Momentum 17
Its standout strengths are stability and fundamentals, while technical analysis and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 13 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 61 to 62.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What drives the risk
- price far below its 52-week high
- weak momentum
What lowers it
- calm price action
Valuation
Valuation signal
Fairly valuedIn our model the price counts as cheap below $12.71 and expensive above $29.66 (uncertainty high, one part of the fair value is more than twice the other).
The two parts of the fair value come to $10.37 (cash-flow model) and $25.21 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 7.2%. At 8.2% the fair value would be $16.86, at 6.2% it would be $19.20.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.5).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Sep 2026, revenue fell 0.6% on the twelve months before. Revenue has grown solidly since 2006, at about 8% per year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 26%, operating 10%, net 7%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterThe balance sheet is solid, with low debt and comfortable interest coverage.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 5 Feb 2027in 84 days
- Last reported
- 23 Oct 2026EPS reported $0.32 (expected $0.34)below expectations
Analyst estimates
Analysts have cut their 2027 earnings estimate by 6.3% since 15 Oct 2026. Falling estimates often precede bad news.
- Earnings per share
- $1.34−2.9%
- Revenue
- $4.68B−0.7%
- Earnings per share
- $1.40−6.3%
- Revenue
- $4.97B−0.4%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook lowered
Share price after the results: −6.5%AAK gives no new numeric targets, but management and analysts discuss continued pricing pressure in CCF and Food Ingredients, with possible further headwind into Q4 and 2027.
The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 23 Oct 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
What happened at AAK AB (publ.)
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
296 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 62
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- IngredionINGR $5.78B61
- GlanbiaGL9.IR $5.24B68
- Nissin Foods Holdings2897.T $5.16B56
- Yamazaki Baking2212.T $5.07B75
- Post HoldingsPOST $3.5B59
- SüdzuckerSZU.DE $3.4B43
- FreshpetFRPT $3.18B55
- Ebro FoodsEBRO.MC $3.08B63
ETFs that hold AAK AB (publ.)
Held by 40 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rize Sustainable Future of Food UCITS ETFRIZF | 2.17% | 0.45% | €58.13M |
| iShares STOXX Europe 600 Food & Beverage UCITS ETF (DE)EXH3 | 0.61% | 0.46% | €351.35M |
| iShares STOXX Europe Small 200 UCITS ETF (DE)EXSE | 0.43% | 0.20% | €632.25M |
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| iShares OMX Stockholm Capped UCITS ETFOM3X | 0.38% | 0.10% | €198.93M |
| Xtrackers MSCI Europe Small Cap UCITS ETF 1CXXSC | 0.22% | 0.30% | €3.45B |
| Ossiam STOXX Europe 600 Equal Weight NR UCITS ETFOSX6 | 0.18% | 0.30% | €216.61M |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Europe Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETF EUR AccZPRX | 0.12% | 0.30% | €813.64M |
| Amundi MSCI Europe Small Cap ESG Broad Transition UCITS ETF DistX026 | 0.05% | 0.23% | €321.86M |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 13 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 31 Dec 2025
- Currency
- Amounts in US dollars, converted at the ECB reference rate of 12 Nov 2026 ($1 = SEK 9.9729)
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 7 Mar 2025)
- Valuation signal Fairly valued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.