Post Holdings stock
POSTNYSEPost Holdings, Inc., Consumer DefensiveISIN US7374461041
60Score 60 out of 100, Neutral
Price and trend
51 / 100
Price history
−25% in one yearThe chart shows daily closes over 15 years, adjusted for stock splits and without dividends. Click into the chart to set a price alert at that price.
Below the 200-day line: the price is 13% below it.
Since May 2025 the 50-day line has been below the 200-day line; the trend has turned down.
Normal: the price is neither overheated nor sold off (RSI 47).
The price is 31% below its 52-week high. Largest decline in 15 years: 47% (March 2014 to October 2014).
Chart figures for advanced users
- SMA 50$78.51
- Average price of the last 50 trading days, shows the short-term trend.
- SMA 200$91.35
- Average price of the last 200 trading days, shows the long-term trend.
- RSI (14)47
- Relative strength over the last 14 days on a scale from 0 to 100. Above 70 the price counts as overheated, below 30 as sharply fallen.
- MACDbelow the signal line
- Compares a fast and a slow price average. Above its signal line momentum is rising, below it momentum is fading.
- Support$72.54
- The lowest closing price of the last twelve months.
- Resistance$114.61
- The highest closing price of the last twelve months.
Snapshot
Computed from the data by fixed rules, no AI
- Post Holdings, Inc. belongs to the Packaged Foods industry (United States) and, with a market value of $3.5B, is number 43 of 75 companies in its industry on MEQIRI.
- In fiscal 2025 it reported revenue of $8.16B (up 3% year on year) and earnings of $335.7M (down 8.5%).
- For fiscal 2026, analysts expect on average revenue of $8.16B (up 0.1%) and adjusted earnings per share of $7.65 (up 5.4%).
Show more
- MEQIRI Score 60 out of 100 (Neutral): rank 176 of 295 in Consumer Defensive, median 62.
- The P/E is 13.8 (Packaged Foods median 18.7, own median of recent years 18.4).
- Our model puts fair value at $144.85, with the price 44% below it.
In plain words
The numbers on this page in plain words, written by an AI
Strengths
- Earnings per share growingUp 248.7% a year since 2020.Growth 78
- Share buybacksShare count down 19% since 2020.Capital allocation 66
- Earnings turn into cashFree cash flow 189% of earnings over the last 12 months.Fundamentals 80
Weaknesses
- High debtDebt 2.47 times equity (latest quarter), Packaged Foods median 0.65.Stability 49
- Interest barely coveredOperating profit covers interest only 2.2 times.Stability 49
Its standout strengths are valuation and fundamentals, while profitability and momentum hold the score back.
Daily figure as of 12 Nov 2026
How the score is calculatedScore overview
Score since yesterday from 61 to 60.
Fundamentals are strong, with stable profits and strong cash generation.
Score history
The full history of up to 20 years comes with MEQIRI Pro.
See plansCrash risk medium
How well MEQIRI warnsIn the middle among smaller stocks.
From 2016 to 2025, 20 in 100 such stocks fell 30% or more within a year, against a group average of 23 in 100.
What lowers it
- solid fundamentals
Valuation
Valuation signal
Significantly undervaluedClosing price of 11 Nov 2026, used by the daily score.
In our model the price counts as cheap below $111.43 and expensive above $206.93 (uncertainty medium, based on the price swings of the past year).
The two parts of the fair value come to $182.09 (cash-flow model) and $107.62 (industry comparison), and the gap between them shows how uncertain the estimate is. The price is below both.
Calculated with a cost of equity of 8.8%. At 9.8% the fair value would be $130.06, at 7.8% it would be $167.02.
Valuation metrics
Half from the cash-flow model, half from earnings times the industry P/E (18.7).
Calculate with your own assumptionsCompany performance
This shows several years of history with an automatic assessment.
Revenue
In the twelve months to 30 Jun 2026, revenue rose 6.2% on the twelve months before. Up to 2020 the bars include businesses that were later spun off or sold. On a comparable basis, as restated in the SEC annual reports, revenue grew 11.6% a year.
Margins
- Gross margin
- Operating margin
- Net margin
In fiscal 2025: gross 26%, operating 10%, net 4%.
Debt & balance sheet
latest quarterDebt is elevated. Keep an eye on the interest burden and refinancing.
Earnings
- Next earnings
- 19 Nov 2026in 7 days
- Last reported
- 6 Aug 2026EPS reported $1.78 (expected $1.70)above expectations
Analyst estimates
Earnings estimates have barely changed since 15 Oct 2026.
- Earnings per share
- $7.18−0.2%
- Revenue
- $7.96B−0.1%
- Earnings per share
- $8.60−0.6%
- Revenue
- $8.03B0.0%
MEQIRI has stored the estimates since 15 Oct 2026. Until 30 days are available, the card shows the change since that day. Mean estimate according to Financial Modeling Prep. No price target and no recommendation.
Company outlook confirmed
Share price after the results: −15.5%Midpoint of fiscal 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained while the range is narrowed; fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA is preliminarily expected to be roughly flat at about $1.48 billion.
“After adjusting our fiscal 2026 outlook for approximately $80 million of items affecting comparability, we enter fiscal 2027 with a comparable adjusted EBITDA base of approximately $1.48 billion.”The outlook is not part of the score and not a recommendation to buy or sell.
From the earnings call on 7 Aug 2026 (fiscal Q3 2026), read by AI.
Insiders
Open-market purchases and sales by executives, board members and major holders
No open-market purchases in the last 6 months. 2 insiders sold, $32.94M in total.
Sales say less than purchases: many insiders sell on a fixed plan, for taxes or to diversify.
Partial trades from one filing are shown in one row, with the average price.
Source: Form 4 filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. Grants, option exercises, gifts and tax withholdings are hidden. Not a recommendation to buy.
What happened at Post Holdings
The key events of the last six months from our own data. A click takes you to the matching card.
Sector comparison
295 rated companies in Consumer Defensive
- This company
- 60
- Sector median
- 62
Categories against the sector median
The median is the middle value: half of the companies in the sector lie above it, half below. Categories with too few comparable companies are left out.
Competitors in Packaged Foods
The next larger and next smaller companies by market value
- IngredionINGR $5.85B61
- Nissin Foods Holdings2897.T $5.23B57
- GlanbiaGL9.IR $5.23B67
- AAK AB (publ.)AAK.ST $4.63B61
- SüdzuckerSZU.DE $3.43B43
- FreshpetFRPT $3.17B57
- Ebro FoodsEBRO.MC $3.07B63
- MarzettiMZTI $3.04B67
ETFs that hold Post Holdings
Held by 11 ETFs on Xetra. Shown per index: the ETF with the largest weight.
| ETF | Weight | Cost | Fund size |
|---|---|---|---|
| State Street SPDR MSCI USA Small Cap Value Weighted UCITS ETFZPRV | 0.11% | 0.30% | €944.34M |
| State Street SPDR S&P 400 U.S. Mid Cap UCITS ETF (Acc)SPY4 | 0.09% | 0.30% | €5.27B |
| Invesco Global Buyback Achievers UCITS ETFBBCK | 0.06% | 0.39% | €188.08M |
Show 5 more
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETFIUSN | 0.03% | 0.35% | €8.19B |
| iShares MSCI USA Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFSXRG | 0.02% | 0.43% | €2.48B |
| iShares MSCI World Small Cap CTB Enhanced ESG UCITS ETFCBUG | 0.01% | 0.35% | €434.1M |
| UBS MSCI USA Select Factor Mix UCITS ETF USD accUSUE | 0.01% | 0.25% | €175.89M |
| Vanguard FTSE Global All-Cap UCITS ETF Accum USDVGLA | 0.00% | 0.07% | €3.9B |
Holdings as reported by the funds via FMP, excluding swap ETFs (their holdings are only collateral).
Data status and sources
- Score
- Daily value of 12 Nov 2026, recalculated nightly
- Price
- Closing price of 12 Nov 2026
- Latest annual report
- Fiscal year 2025, period end 30 Sep 2025
- Source
- Financial statements, ratios and prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP), based on the company's reports. MEQIRI calculates the score and fair value from them.
Mandatory disclosures for this rating
- ; time horizon around 12 months
- Rated Neutral, published since 7 Nov 2026 (in the score history since 30 Jun 2023)
- Valuation signal Undervalued since 7 Nov 2026
- End-of-day prices, metrics cached for up to 24 hours
- Score and fair value are estimates from a disclosed model. They are not facts and not a price target.
- Produced by SSM Ventures UG (haftungsbeschränkt), responsible person Sven Brostmeyer, Managing Director, automatically according to the disclosed model.
- Not investment advice. Losses up to and including a total loss are possible. Personal circumstances are not considered.